Comprehensive system of
quantitative methods for population health/disease analyses
- examples of
practical application
E P
I Z O
O
version
4.0
Prof.Dr Václav
K o u b a, DrSc.
EPIZOO
is a software package of selected methods for
animal
p o p u l a t i o n h e a l t
h analysis and
programming
applicable on any animal species, any disease
at any time and in any place
The methods have been tested and used in practice for animal population health and disease analyses and control programmes at local, national and international levels. The software is applicable to any species of animal kingdom, i.e. including Homo sapiens.
Detailed information on EPIZOO individual subprogramme formulae and procedures see in EPIZMETH software as well as in internet -www.cbox.cz/vaclavkouba/epimethodology.htm.
The examples’
results do not include: introductory
part (repeating input data) and graphs as it is normal when using EPIZOO
software.
M A I N M
E N U
OF SUBPROGRAMME GROUPS
1-Animal population - characteristics
of health importance
2-Animal population health/disease
analysis - basic indicators
3-Selected indicators of animal
population health structures
4-Selected indicators of epizootic
process dynamics
5-Selected indicators of animal
disease risk assessment
6-Consequences of animal population health
and disease
7-Investigations of animal population
health situation
8-Methods related to sampling in
population investigations
9-Selected aspects of animal
population health programmes
10-Cost and efficiency of animal
population health programmes
11-Complementary subprogrammes - I
12-Complementary subprogrammes - II
13-Annex I - Selected basic
statistical methods
14-Annex II - Other selected
statistical and economic methods
1-ANIMAL POPULATION - SELECTED CHARACTERISTICS OF
HEALTH IMPORTANCE
========================================================================
1-Animal population size and
species structure
2-Animal
population categories (strata) structure
3-Animal
population territorial distribution
4-Breeding/production conditions influencing animals distribution
5-Ecological conditions influencing animals distribution
6-Selected indicators related to disease resistant animals
7-Selected indicators related to disease susceptible animals
8-Animal
population production per animal, input, space and time
9-Animal
population dynamics - 'vertical movement'
10-Estimation of animals number according to
survival rates
11-Estimation of number of wild animals (vertebrates+invertebrates)
12-Estimation of animal population size based on capture/recapture
13-Estimation of animal population size based on average density
1.1-ANIMAL POPULATIONS SIZE AND SPECIES STRUCTURE
Notes: Applicable
also on the etiological agents' vectors and reservoirs. Differentiate total and at risk populations !
INPUT DATA:
animal populations ? domestic mammals
place (territory, land, sector, etc.) ?
List animal species , number of animals :
1
species, animals ? cattle,1988964
2
species, animals ? sheep,122104
3
species, animals ? goats,33133
4
species, animals ? horses,19000
5
species, animals ? pigs,3804821
RESULT:
Species Absolute Proportion Percentage
Number
cattle
1988964
0.3333
33.3270
sheep
122104
0.0205
2.0460
goats
33133
0.0056
0.5552
horses 19000
0.0032
0.3184
pigs 3804821 0.6375
63.7535
T o t a l 5968022
1.000000 100.0000
1.2-ANIMAL POPULATION
CATEGORIES (STRATA) STRUCTURE
(according to breed, age, gender, weight, physiological stage, nutrition
status, immunity status, performance, type/level of productivity, type of breeding,
type of exploitation, production stage, technology, concentration)
INPUT DATA:
place, time ?
species ? cattle category according to ? age and sex
List data: name of subgroup, number of animals :
1 : ? cows,830000
2 : ? heifers >2
years,109000
3 : ? heifers 1-2
years,294000
4 : ? bulls >1 year,237000
5 : ? young 6-12 m.,297000
6 : ? calves <6
m.,392000
RESULT:
Category Number of Proportion Percentage
Subgroup Animals
cows 830000 0.384437 38.4437
heifers >2 years 109000 0.050486 5.0486
heifers 1-2 years 294000 0.136174 13.6174
bulls >1 year 237000 0.109773 10.9773
young 6-12 m. 297000 0.137564 13.7564
calves <6 m. 392000 0.181566 18.1566
T o t a l 2159000
1.000000 100.0000
1.3-ANIMAL POPULATION TERRITORIAL
DISTRIBUTION
This subprogramme calculates:
1) animal
population - territorial density and distribution
INPUT DATA
place (territory), time ?
species, category(ies) ?
cattle,all
space measure unit ? km2
List data::
1 subterritory, s i z e, animals ?
2 subterritory, s i z e, animals ?
3 subterritory, s i z e, animals ?
4 subterritory, s i z e, animals ?
5 subterritory, s i z e, animals ?
6 subterritory, s i z e, animals ? South
Moravia,15028,416000
7 subterritory, s i z e, animals ? North
Moravia,11067,254000
RESULT :
Subterritory km2 Number of Average Proportion
Percentage
Animals Density
T o t a l 78864
2030000 25.74 1.000000
100.0000
1.3-ANIMAL POPULATION
TERRITORIAL DISTRIBUTION
This subprogramme
calculates: 2) farms - average number of animals and territorial distribution
INPUT DATA
place (territory), time ?
species, category(ies) ?
cattle,all farm type ? all
List data :
1 subterritory, number of f a r m s, animals ? Cent.Bohemia,2600,350608
2 subterritory, number of f a r m s, animals ?
3 subterritory, number of f a r m s, animals ?
4 subterritory, number of f a r m s, animals ?
5 subterritory, number of f a r m s, animals ?
6 subterritory, number of f a r m s, animals ?
7 subterritory, number of f a r m s, animals ?
RESULT:
Subterritory Farms Number of Average Proportion
Percentage
Animals Number (from
a l l farms)
Cent.Bohemia 2600 350608 134.85 0.204178
20.4178
T o t a l 12734
2117938 166.32 1.000000 100.0000
1.3-ANIMAL POPULATION TERRITORIAL
DISTRIBUTION
This subprogramme
calculates: 3) animal population - simple territorial distribution
INPUT DATA
place (territory), time ?
species, category(ies) ?
cattle,all farm type ? all according to size
List data :
1 subterritory, number of f a r m s, animals ? <0.5 ha,103840,143247
2 subterritory, number of f a r m s, animals ? 0.5-50 ha,23354,73413
3 subterritory, number of f a r m s, animals ? 50-500 ha,95,23338
4 subterritory, number of f a r m s, animals ? 500-1000 ha,135,80193
5 subterritory, number of f a r m s, animals ? 1000-2500 ha,984,1388980
6 subterritory, number of f a r m s, animals ? 2500-4000 ha,556,295262
7 subterritory, number of f a r m s, animals ? 4000-6000 ha,256,901035
8 subterritory, number of f a r m s, animals ? >6000 ha,144,970710
RESULT:
F A R M S: AVERAGE NUMBER OF ANIMALS AND TERRITORIAL DISTRIBUTION
Subterritory Farms Number of Average Proportion Percentage
Animals Number (from
a l l farms)
<0.5 ha 103840 143247 1.38
0.802696
80.2696
0.5-50 ha 23354 73413 3.14
0.180529 18.0529
50-500 ha 95 23338 245.66
0.000734
0.0734
500-1000 ha 135 80193 594.02
0.001044 0.1044
1000-2500 ha 984
1388980 1411.57
0.007606 0.7606
2500-4000 ha 556
295262 531.05
0.004298 0.4298
4000-6000 ha 256
901035 3519.67
0.001979 0.1979
>6000 ha 144
970710 6741.04
0.001113
0.1113
T o t a l 129364 3876178 29.96
1.000000 100.0000
1.3-ANIMAL POPULATION TERRITORIAL
DISTRIBUTION
This subprogramme calculates: 3) animal
population - simple territorial distribution
INPUT DATA
place (territory), time ?
world,1995
species, category(ies) ?
cattle,all
List data:
1 subterritory, number of animals ?
2 subterritory, number of animals ? N.C.America,164635000
3 subterritory, number of animals ?
S.America,288831000
4 subterritory, number of animals ?
5 subterritory, number of animals ?
6 subterritory, number of animals ?
RESULT:
Subterritory Number of Proportion Percentage
Animals
Africa 196393000 0.161269 16.1269
N.C.America 164635000 0.135191 13.5191
S.America 288831000 0.237175 23.7175
Asia 425761000 0.349616 34.9616
Europe 106469000 0.087428 8.7428
Oceania 35706000 0.029320 2.9320
T o t a l 1217795000 1.000000 100.0000
1.4-BREEDING/PRODUCTION
CONDITIONS INFLUENCING ANIMALS DISTRIBUTION
(animal breeding/production exploitation, technology, concentration,
housing, herd/flock/farm size, management, economic sector, etc.)
INPUT DATA:
place, time ?
type of breeding/production
conditions ? genetically controlled cows
criterion for subgrouping ?
milk yield per lactation period
conditions measure units ? milking cows
List data: name of subgroup,
number of measure units:
1 : ? 2700-3499 lit,141354
2 : ? 3500-3999 lit,62193
3 : ? 4000-4999 lit,31635
4 : ? >5000 lit,6257
RESULT:
Subgroup milking cows Proportion Percentage
2700-3499 lit 141354 0.585465 58.5465
3500-3999 lit 62193 0.257593 25.7593
4000-4999 lit 31635 0.131027 13.1027
>5000 lit 6257 0.025915 2.5915
T o t a l 241439 1.000000 100.0000
1.5-ECOLOGICAL CONDITIONS
INFLUENCING ANIMALS DISTRIBUTION
[atmospherical, geospherical, hydrospherical and biospherical (flora,fauna)
factors, hygiene, etc.]
INPUT DATA:
place, time ?
type of ecological conditions
? land use criterion for subgrouping ? type of land
ecological conditions measure
units? ha
List data: name of subgroup,
number of measure units:
1 : ? arable
land,3158000
2 : ?
meadows,620000
3 : ?
pastures,266000
4 : ?
forest,2630000
5 : ? other,1003000
RESULT:
Subgroup ha Proportion Percentage
arable land 3158000 0.411359 41.1359
meadows 620000 0.080761
8.0761
pastures 266000 0.034649
3.4649
forest 2630000 0.342582
34.2582
other 1003000 0.130650
13.0650
T o t a l 7677000 1.000000
100.0000
1.6-SELECTED
INDICATORS RELATED TO DISEASE RESISTANT ANIMALS
INPUT DATA:
species, category(ies) ?
cattle,all
type/form of population
resistance ? against IBR/IPV (vaccinated)
place ?
Do you want to calculate
point prevalence at a given moment
(m) or indicators related to a given
period (p) ? m
time-moment ? 1995
total number of animals
existing at the given moment ?
1988964
number of resistant animals
existing at the given moment ? 100040
RESULT:
Point prevalence rate of
resistant animals = 0.0503
= 5.0298 %
1.6-SELECTED INDICATORS
RELATED TO DISEASE RESISTANT ANIMALS
INPUT DATA:
species, category(ies) ?
pigs,all
type/form of population
resistance ? against hog cholera (vaccinated)
place ? Ranch G.
Do you want to calculate
point prevalence at a given moment (m)
or indicators related to a given period
(p) ? p
time-period ? 2003
total number of animals
existing at the beginning of the
period ? 1100
total number of animals
existing in the period ? 1500
average number of animals in
the period ? 1250
number of resistant animals
existing at the beginning of the
period ? 450
number of resistant animals
existing in the period ? 670
average number of resistant
animals in the period ? 550
number of new resistant
animals in the period ? 240
number of extinct resistant
animals (dead+slaughtered+removed+with immunity end) in the period ? 210
RESULT:
Initial point prevalence rate
of resistant animals =
0.4091
Period prevalence rate of
resistant animals =
0.4467
Average prevalence rate of
resistant animals =
0.4400
Incidence rate of resistant
animals to existing total =
0.1600
Incidence rate of resistant
animals to average total =
0.1920
Incidence rate of resistant
animals to initial total = 0.2182
Extinction rate of resistant
animals to existing total =
0.1400
Extinction rate of resistant
animals to average total =
0.1680
Extinction rate of resistant
animals to initial total =
0.1909
1.7-SELECTED INDICATORS
RELATED TO DISEASE SUSCEPTIBLE ANIMALS
INPUT DATA:
species, category(ies) ?
cattle,all
type of population
susceptibility ? to IBR/IPV
place ?
Do you want to calculate point
prevalence at a given moment
(m) or indicators related to a given
period (p) ? m
time-moment ? end 1955
total number of animals
existing at the given moment ?
1988964
number of susceptible animals
existing at the given moment ? 1888924
RESULT:
Point prevalence rate of
susceptible animals = 0.9497
= 94.9702 %
1.7-SELECTED INDICATORS
RELATED TO DISEASE SUSCEPTIBLE ANIMALS
INPUT DATA:
species, category(ies) ?
cattle,all
type of population
susceptibility ? to IBR/IPV
place ? Ranch B.
Do you want to calculate
point prevalence at a given moment (m)
or indicators related to a given period
(p) ? p
time-period ? 2003
total number of animals existing
at the beginning of the period ?
4500
total number of animals
existing in the period ? 6700
average number of animals in
the period ? 5200
number of susceptible animals
existing at the beginning of the period
? 3500
number of susceptible animals
existing in the period ? 4300
average number of susceptible
animals in the period ? 3900
number of new susceptible
animals in the period ? 1200
number of extinct susceptible
animals (dead+slaughtered+removed+immunized) in the period ? 1500
RESULT:
Initial point prevalence rate
of susceptible animals = 0.7778
Period prevalence rate of
susceptible animals =
0.6418
Average prevalence rate of
susceptible animals =
0.7500
Incidence rate of susceptible
animals to existing total = 0.1791
Incidence rate of susceptible
animals to average total = 0.2308
Incidence rate of susceptible
animals to initial total = 0.2667
Extinction rate of
susceptible animals to existing total
= 0.2239
Extinction rate of
susceptible animals to average total
= 0.2885
Extinction rate of
susceptible animals to initial total
= 0.3333
1.8-ANIMAL POPULATION AVERAGE
PRODUCTION PER ANIMAL, INPUT, SPACE AND TIME
This subprogramme calculates
average animal production per: 1) animal
INPUT DATA:
place, period ?
species, category(ies) ?
cattle,cows
total number of animals ?
768000
List data, values in measure units:
1
product, measure units, total quantity ? milk,liters,3134000000
RESULT:
Product Measure Quantity Average
Units per
Animal
1
milk
liters 3134000000 4080.7292
1.8-ANIMAL POPULATION AVERAGE PRODUCTION PER
ANIMAL, INPUT, SPACE AND TIME
This subprogramme calculates
average animal production per: 2) input
INPUT DATA:
place, period ? Ranch F.,2003
species, category(ies) ?
pigs,feedlots
animal product ? meat
product measure units ? kg
total quantity of
product ? 112000
List data, values in measure
units:
1
input type, input units, input value ? forage mixture,kg,350000
2
input type, input units, input value ? money,dollars,415000
RESULT:
Input Input Input Average kg
Unit Quantity per Input Unit
1 forage mixture kg 350000 0.3200
2 money dollars 415000 0.2699
1.8-ANIMAL POPULATION AVERAGE PRODUCTION
PER ANIMAL, INPUT, SPACE AND TIME
This subprogramme calculates
average animal production per: 3) space
INPUT DATA:
place, period ?
species, category(ies) ?
cattle,cows
animal product ? milk product measure units ? liters
space measure units ? 100 ha
List data, values in measure
units:
1
place, size, total product quantity ? Cent.Bohemia,109940,711000000
2
place, size, total product quantity ?
3
place, size, total product quantity ?
4
place, size, total product quantity ?
5
place, size, total product quantity ?
6
place, size, total product quantity ?
7
place, size, total product quantity ?
RESULT:
Place Size Quantity Average liters
100 ha of Product per 100 ha Proportion %
Cent.Bohemia 109940
711000000
6467.16 0.1513 15.1309
T o t a l 783680
4699000000 5996.07 1.0000 100.0000
1.8-ANIMAL POPULATION AVERAGE
PRODUCTION PER ANIMAL, INPUT, SPACE AND TIME
This subprogramme calculates
average animal production per: 4) time
INPUT DATA:
place, period ?
species, category(ies) ?
cattle,cows
animal product ? milk product measure units ? mil.lit
time measure units ? year
List data, values in measure
units:
1
subperiod, duration, total product quantity ? 1989,1,4893
2
subperiod, duration, total product quantity ? 1990,1,4802
3
subperiod, duration, total product quantity ? 1991,1,4125
4
subperiod, duration, total product quantity ? 1992,1,3699
5
subperiod, duration, total product quantity ? 1993,1,3350
6
subperiod, duration, total product quantity ? 1994,1,3134
RESULT:
Superiod Duration
Quantity Average mil.lit
year of Product
per year Proportion
%
1989 1 4893 4893.00 0.2038
20.3850
1990 1 4802 4802.00 0.2001 20.0058
1991 1 4125 4125.00 0.1719 17.1854
1992 1 3699 3699.00 0.1541 15.4106
1993 1 3350 3350.00 0.1396 13.9566
1994 1 3134 3134.00 0.1306 13.0567
T o t a l 6
24003 4000.50 1.0000 100.0000
1.9-ANIMAL POPULATION DYNAMICS
- 'VERTICAL MOVEMENT'
This subprogramme calculates
: 1) combination of numbers of existing, new and extinct animals
INPUT DATA
place, time-period ?
species, category(ies) ?
cattle,all
Question about indicator to be calculated to be left without the answer
! The other t h r e e data must be given !
number of animals existing at
the beginning of the period ?
2161000
number of n e w
born and introduced animals in the period ?
669838
number of e x t i n c t (dead+slaughtered+removed)
animals in the period ?
number of animals existing at
the e n d of the period ? 2030000
RESULT:
Number of extinct animals in
the period =
800838
Number of animals existing in
the period = 2830838
1.9-ANIMAL POPULATION DYNAMICS
- 'VERTICAL MOVEMENT'
This subprogramme calculates
: 2) animal population replacement (restocking) rates
INPUT DATA
place, time-period ?
species, category(ies) ?
cattle,all
number of animals existing at
the beginning of the period ? 2161000
number of n e w
born animals in the period ?
655000
number of animals introduced
in the period ? 14282
number of animals existing in
the period ?
2830838
average number of animals
existing in the period ?
2095500
duration (in days) of one
population reproduction cycle ? 1200
RESULT:
Replacement (restocking)
rate to initial number of animals =
0.3097
Replacement (restocking)
rate to existing number of animals =
0.2364
Replacement (restocking)
rate to average number of animals =
0.3194
Annual proportion of
reproduction cycle =
0.3042
1.9-ANIMAL POPULATION DYNAMICS
- 'VERTICAL MOVEMENT'
This subprogramme calculates
: 3) estimate of number of animals w
i t h i n one regular generation cycle
INPUT DATA
place, time-period ? Farm
B.,2003
species, category(ies) ?
poultry,hen
number of animals at the beginning of the
period
? 12100
duration (in days) of one
regular generation (replacement) cycle ? 420
duration (in days) between
the initial and evaluated days w i t h i
n the generation cycle ? 90
RESULT:
Estimated number of animals
existing at the beginning and still
remaining +/ at the evaluated day =
9507
+/ If not removed prematurely
and in absence of migration.
1.9-ANIMAL POPULATION DYNAMICS
- 'VERTICAL MOVEMENT'
This subprogramme calculates : 4) estimate
of number of animals w i t h i n one regular
c o n t i n u i n g
production/breeding cycle
INPUT DATA
place, time-period ? Ranch D.,2004
species, category(ies) ?
pigs,feedlots
number of animals at the
beginning of the period ?
23500
duration (in days) of one
regular c o n t i n u i n g production/breeding (replacement) cycle ? 360
duration (in days) between
the initial and evaluated days w i t h i n
the production/breeding cycle
? 270
RESULT:
Estimated number of animals
existing at the beginning and still remaining +/ at the evaluated day =
5875
+/ If not removed prematurely and in absence
of migration.
1.9-ANIMAL POPULATION DYNAMICS
- 'VERTICAL MOVEMENT'
This subprogramme calculates : 5) addition
and withdrawal rates of animal population (applicable also on import/export of
animals)
INPUT DATA
place, time-period ?
species, category(ies) ?
cattle,all
total number of animals
existing at the beginning of the period
? 2161000
total number of animals
existing in the period
? 2830838
average number of animals
existing in the period
? 2095500
number of new
(born+introduced) animals in the period
? 669838
number of extinct animals
(dead+slaughtered+removed) in the
period ? 800838
RESULT:
Addition rate of animals to
existing total =
0.2366
Addition rate of animals to
average total =
0.3197
Addition rate of animals to
initial total =
0.3100
Withdrawal rate of animals
to existing total =
0.2829
Withdrawal rate of animals
to average total =
0.3822
Withdrawal rate of animals
to initial total =
0.3706
Balance between additions
and withdrawals =
-131000
Ratio of animal population
additions/withdrawals =
0.8364
Ratio of animal population
withdrawals/additions = 1.1956
1.9-ANIMAL POPULATION DYNAMICS
- 'VERTICAL MOVEMENT'
This subprogramme calculates
: 6) simple model of animal population growth
INPUT DATA
place, time-period ?
species, category(ies) ?
cattle,all
number of animals at the
beginning of the period ?
3506000
List data: subperiod, supposed number of new (born+introduced) animals, supposed
number of extinct (dead+slaughtered+removed) animals
1 : ?
1989,1143000,1289000
2 : ?
1990,1084000,1494000
3 : ?
1991,934000,1372000
4 : ?
1992,800000,1151000
5 : ? 1993,689000,820000
6 : ? 1994,655000,696000
RESULT:
SIMPLE MODEL
FOR A N I M A L P O P U L A T I O N G R O W T H
Subperiod New Extinct FINAL
1 1989 1143000 1289000 3360000
2 1990 1084000 1494000 2950000
3 1991 934000 1372000 2512000
4 1992 800000 1151000 2161000
5 1993 689000 820000 2030000
6 1994 655000 696000 1989000
1.10-ESTIMATION OF NUMBER OF
ANIMALS ACCORDING TO SURVIVAL RATES (after a series of subperiods and in absence
of migration)
INPUT DATA:
place, period ? Ranch F.,2004
species, category(ies) ?
cattle,<1 year age
total number of animals at
the beginning ? 820
List of data : name of subperiod, coefficient of survival probability in form of proportion :
subperiod No 1 ? <3 months,0.93
subperiod No 2 ? 3-6 months,0.95
subperiod No 3 ? 6-9 months,0.97
subperiod No 4 ? 9-12 months,0.99
RESULT:
From the initial 820 animals after 4
subperiods it can be estimated
about 696 surviving animals.
Subperiod Survival Cumulative Animals
Rate
Survival at the End
Rate of Subperiod
1 <3 months 0.9300 0.9300 763
2 3-6 months 0.9500 0.8835 724
3 6-9 months 0.9700 0.8570 703
4 9-12 months 0.9900 0.8484 696
1.11-ESTIMATES OF THE NUMBER
OF WILD ANIMALS (VERTEBRATES AND INVERTEBRATES) (rough
estimates based on territory population samples investigations)
INPUT DATA:
animal species ? antelopes
place (territory), time ?
surface measure units ? km2
total territory in surface
measure units ? 1200000
List data: subterritory names, total size surface units, investigated surface size,
number of found animals:
1 . subterritory: ? Somon Y.,2500,250,390
2 . subterritory: ? Somon O.,5500,340,280
3 . subterritory: ? Somon P.,2700,170,170
4 . subterritory: ? Somon Z.,5800,450,1700
5 . subterritory: ? Somon T.,2400,120,22
RESULT:
S u r f a
c e in km2 A
n i m
a l s
Selected ------------------------------------ -----------------------------------------------
Represent. Total
Investi- Territory Found
Average Estimate Propor-
Sub- gated
Propor- per of Total tion
territory tion
km2
Somon Y. 2500 250
0.1000 390 1.6 3900 0.1165
Somon O. 5500 340
0.0618 280 0.8
4529 0.1353
Somon P. 2700 170 0.0630 170
1.0
2700
0.0806
Somon Z. 5800 450 0.0776 1700
3.8 21911
0.6544
Somon T. 2400 120
0.0500 22
0.2
440
0.0131
T O T A L 18900
1330 0.0704 2562 1.9
33481 1.0000
If this average per km2 is
applied on the total territory of 1200000 km2 then it can be estimated
about 2311579 animals (antelopes) living there.
Do you want to estimate the number of specific disease agents reservoirs among the animals of the above
species, yes(y) or no(n) ? y
ADDITIONAL INPUT DATA:
specific disease ? foot-and-mouth disease
estimated percentage of animals reservoirs (vectors) ? 3
If the estimated percentage is applied on the total territory, then it
can be roughly estimated about 69347 antelopes
- reservoirs (carriers)
of foot-and-mouth disease agents living
there.
1.12-ESTIMATION OF ANIMAL
POPULATION SIZE BASED ON CAPTURE/RECAPTURE in the absence of migration (Ref.:
Cannon,Roe)
(This capture-recapture sampling scheme is applicable on feral animals or
where mustering is difficult. )
INPUT DATA:
species ? wold board
place (territory), time ?
District C.,2003-2004
total number of
captured-marked and released animals
? 120
total number of animals
captured a f t e r a t
i m e suitable to allow for mixing of
the population, but which would preclude
many deaths/births ? 130
number of recaptured animals
of the original capture ?
110
RESULT:
Very rough estimation of the
population size = about 142 animals
1.13-ESTIMATION OF ANIMAL
POPULATION SIZE BASED ON AVERAGE DENSITY
This subprogramme calculates
animal population size for: 1) multiform territory knowing the surface
size
INPUT DATA:
place, time ?
species ? cattle surface measure unit ? km2
average density of animals
per one surface measure unit ? 25.74
total territory size in
surface measure units ? 78864
RESULT:
Rough estimation of the
population size = 2029959
animals
1.13-ESTIMATION OF ANIMAL
POPULATION SIZE BASED ON AVERAGE DENSITY
This subprogramme calculates
animal population size for: 2) circular territory knowing the radius
INPUT DATA:
place, time ?
species ? cattle surface measure unit ? km2
average density of animals
per one surface measure unit ? 25.74
length measure units? km radius in length measure units ? 20
RESULT:
Rough estimation of the
population size = 32346
animals
1.13-ESTIMATION OF ANIMAL
POPULATION SIZE BASED ON AVERAGE DENSITY
This subprogramme calculates
animal population size for: 3) square territory knowing the side length
INPUT DATA:
place, time ?
species ? cattle surface measure unit ? km2
average density of animals
per one surface measure unit ? 21.45
length measure units ? km length of square side in length measure
units ? 20
RESULT:
Territory size = 400 km2
Rough estimation of the
population size =
8580 animals
1.13-ESTIMATION OF ANIMAL
POPULATION SIZE BASED ON AVERAGE DENSITY
This subprogramme calculates
animal population size for: 4) oblong territory knowing the length and
width
INPUT DATA:
place, time ?
species ? cattle surface measure unit ? km2
average density of animals
per one surface measure unit ? 16.8
length measure units ? km oblong length in measure units ? 45 oblong width in measure units ? 21
RESULT:
Territory size = 945 km2
Rough estimation of the population
size =
15876 animals
1.13-ESTIMATION OF ANIMAL
POPULATION SIZE BASED ON AVERAGE DENSITY
This subprogramme calculates
animal population size for: 5) volume space knowing the length, width and
depth (height)
INPUT DATA:
place, time ? Pond
L.,1.7.2004
species ? carp
volume measure unit ? m3 average density of animals per one volume
measure unit ? 0.2
length measure units ? m length in measure units ? 450 width in measure units ? 120
depth (height) in measure
units
? 4
RESULT:
Volume size = 216000 m3
Rough estimation of the
population size = 43200 animals
2-ANIMAL POPULATION
HEALTH/DISEASE ANALYSIS - BASIC
INDICATORS
=================================================================
1-General indicators for animal
population health analysis
2-Indicators of presence/absence of
animal health phenomena
3-Selected indicators of animal
population health (disease free)
4-Selected indicators of animal
population morbidity
5-Selected indicators of animal
population viability (survival)
6-Selected indicators of animal
population mortality
7-Selected indicators of animal disease
nidality (focality)
8-Selected indicators of animal disease
territorial distribution
9-Human/animal populations and zoonoses
Recommendation: small resulting values of the indicators to be multiplied
by 100 (per 100 basic units), by 1000 (per 1000 basic units), etc.
2.1-GENERAL INDICATORS FOR
ANIMAL POPULATION HEALTH ANALYSIS
INPUT DATA:
basic units (animals - total, at
r i s k; herds, flocks, farms, space units, territory units, product units and other epi.
risk units) ? cattle
epi. units (basic units with health related characteristic (e.g. disease
free, diseased, pathogen carriers, etc.)
or events ? affected by brucellosis
place ?
Do you want to calculate point(moment) prevalence at a given moment (m) or indicators related to a
given period (p) ? m
time-moment ? 1.January 1961
total number of basic units
existing at the given moment ? 3030000
number of epi.
units existing at the given moment ? 3321
RESULT:
Point prevalence rate of
epi. units = 0.0011
= 0.1096 %
2.1-GENERAL INDICATORS FOR
ANIMAL POPULATION HEALTH ANALYSIS
INPUT DATA:
basic units (animals - total, at
r i s k; herds, flocks, farms, space units, territory units, product
units and other epi. risk units) ? cattle
epi. units (basic units with health related characteristic (e.g. disease
free, diseased, pathogen carriers, etc.)
or events ? affected by brucellosis
place ?
Do you want to calculate point(moment) prevalence at a given moment (m)
or indicators related to a given period (p)
? p
time-period ? 1961
number of basic units
existing at the beginning of the period ? 3030000
number of basic units existing in the
period ? 4204320
average number of basic units
in the period ? 3081000
number of epi. units at the
beginning of the period ? 33211
number of epi. units existing
in the period ?
35008
average number of epi. units
in the period ?
34933
number of new epi. units in
the period ?
1797
number of extinct epi. units
in the period ? 1648
RESULT:
Initial point prevalence rate
of epi. units =
0.0110
Period (interval) prevalence
rate of epi. units = 0.0083
Average prevalence rate of
epi. units = 0.0113
Incidence rate of epi. units
to existing total = 0.0004
Incidence rate of epi. units
to average total = 0.0006
Incidence rate of epi. units
to initial total = 0.0006
Extinction rate of epi. units
to existing total =
0.0004
Extinction rate of epi. units
to average total = 0.0005
Extinction rate of epi. units
to initial total = 0.0005
Note: To get values per 100, 1000, 10000, 100000, etc. basic units,
resulting data in form of proportion to be multiplied by 100, 1000,... etc.
2.2-SELECTED INDICATORS OF
PRESENCE/ABSENCE DURATION OF ANIMAL POPULATION
HEALTH PHENOMENON
This subprogramme
calculates: 1) animal health phenomenon
(disease, measure, environment factor, etc.) presence/absence relation
INPUT DATA:
animal health phenomenon ? foot-and-mouth disease
place
?
time measure units ? days
total duration of p r e s e n c e of animal health phenomenon ? 145
total duration of a b s e n c e
of animal health phenomenon ?
560
number of periods of p r e s e n c e of animal health phenomenon ? 4
number of periods of a b s e n c e
of animal health phenomenon ? 5
RESULT:
Time measure units: days
Total duration: 705
Average duration of presence
of the phenomenon = 36.25
Average duration of absence of
the phenomenon = 112.00
Time proportion of presence of
the phenomenon = 0.2057
Time proportion of absence of
the phenomenon =
0.7943
Ratio of periods with/without
the phenomenon =
0.2589
Ratio of periods without/with
the phenomenon =
3.8621
2.2-SELECTED INDICATORS OF
PRESENCE/ABSENCE DURATION OF ANIMAL POPULATION
HEALTH PHENOMENON
This subprogramme calculates: 2) disease
persistence (endemism) index - according to Dr Astudillo
INPUT DATA:
There is a need for data on
chronological series of disease presence
and absence durations during several years measured in months.
disease ? foot-and-mouth
disease
space, period ? Region X. in
Brasil, 1975-1982
number of dif. durations of
disease p r e s e n c e periods ? 8
number of dif. durations of
disease a b s e n c e periods
? 7
1 : duration of p r e s e n c e (in months), frequency ? 1,2
2 : duration of p r e s e n c e (in months), frequency ? 2,2
3 : duration of p r e s e n c e (in months), frequency ? 3,2
4 : duration of p r e s e n c e (in months), frequency ? 5,1
5 : duration of p r e s e n c e (in months), frequency ? 8,1
6 : duration of p r e s e n c e (in months), frequency ? 10,2
7 : duration of p r e s e n c e (in months), frequency ? 13,1
8 : duration of p r e s e n c e (in months), frequency ? 15,1
1 : duration of a b s e n c e
(in months), frequency ? 1,5
2 : duration of a b s e n c e
(in months), frequency ? 2,1
3 : duration of a b s e n c e
(in months), frequency ? 6,2
4 : duration of a b s e n c e
(in months), frequency ? 7,1
5 : duration of a b s e n c e
(in months), frequency ? 8,1
6 : duration of a b s e n c e
(in months), frequency ? 23,1
7 : duration of a b s e n c e
(in months), frequency ? 26,1
RESULT:
Total number of
months: 156
Disease presence
omega = 0.1644
Disease absence omega = 0.1446
Sum of presence and
absence omegas = 0.3090
Disease persistence
index (endemism index) =
0.4679 = 46.7949
%
2.3-SELECTED INDICATORS OF
ANIMAL POPULATION HEALTH
related to d i s e a s e f r e e
animals: healthy, unaffected, pathogen free, non diseased; (salubrity,
healthiness, wholesomeness, wellness, etc.)
INPUT DATA:
type/form of animal
population health (general - crude or
particular - cause/attribute specific) ? tuberculin negative
species, category(ies) ?
cattle,all
place ?
Do you want to calculate point(moment) prevalence at a given moment (m) or indicators related to a given period (p) ?
m
time-moment (point in time) ?
1.1.1960
total number of animals
existing at the given moment ? 2987000
number of healthy animals
existing at the given moment ? 2358824
RESULT:
Point prevalence rate of
healthy animals = 0.7897
= 78.97 %
2.3-SELECTED INDICATORS OF
ANIMAL POPULATION HEALTH
related to d i s e a s e f r e e
animals: healthy, unaffected, pathogen free, non diseased; (salubrity,
healthiness, wholesomeness, wellness, etc.)
INPUT DATA:
type/form of animal
population health
(general - crude or
particular - cause/attribute specific) ? tuberculin negative
species, category(ies) ?
cattle,all
place ?
Do you want to calculate point(moment) prevalence at a given moment
(m) or indicators related to a given period (p) ? p
time-period ? 1960
total number of animals at
the beginning of the period ? 2987000
total number of animals
existing in the period ?
4161320
average number of animals in
the period ? 3008500
number of healthy animals at
the beginning of the period ? 2358824
number of healthy animals
existing in the period ? 3287427
average number of healthy
animals in the period ? 2365493
number of new healthy animals
in the period ? 928603
number of extinct healthy
animals (slaughtered, removed, diseased)
in the period ? 921934
RESULT:
Initial point prevalence rate
of healthy animals = 0.7897
Period prevalence rate of
healthy animals = 0.7900
Average prevalence rate of
healthy animals = 0.7863
Incidence rate of healthy
animals to existing total = 0.2232
Incidence rate of healthy
animals to average total = 0.3087
Incidence rate of healthy animals
to initial total = 0.3109
Extinction rate of healthy
animals to existing total = 0.2215
Extinction rate of healthy
animals to average total = 0.3064
Extinction rate of healthy
animals to initial total =
0.3086
Do you want to calculate the relations of the numbers of healthy
animals to those with other epi. characteristics, yes(y) or
no(n) ? y
INPUT DATA
time? 1960
number of healthy animals at
the given time ? 2987000
number of diseased animals at
the given time ? 630838
number of intrafocal animals
at the given time ?
number of animals at risk at
the given time ?
number of resistant animals
at the given time ?
number of susceptible animals
at the given time ?
number of investigated
animals at the given time ? 2769776
RESULT:
Ratio of healthy animals per
diseased one = 4.7350
Ratio of diseased animals per
healthy one = 0.2112
Ratio of healthy animals per
investigated one = 1.0784
Ratio of investigated animals
per healthy one = 0.9273
2.4-SELECTED INDICATORS OF
ANIMAL POPULATION MORBIDITY
This subprogramme calculates indicators related to diseased animals
(unhealthy, affected, infected, invaded, pathogen carriers), clinical cases,
etc. :
1) total population point prevalence rate at a given moment
INPUT DATA:
disease(s)-type/form (general
- crude or cause/attribute-specific; apparent, true, reported, etc.) ? bovine
tuberculosis
species, category(ies) ?
cattle,all
place, time-moment ?
total number of animals
existing at the given moment ?
2987000
number of diseased animals
existing at the given moment ? 628276
number of diseased animals
with clinical symptoms existing at the given moment ? 0
RESULT:
Point prevalence rate of diseased animals = 0.2103
= 21.0337 %
2.4-SELECTED INDICATORS OF
ANIMAL POPULATION MORBIDITY
This subprogramme calculates indicators related to diseased animals
(unhealthy, affected, infected, invaded, pathogen carriers), clinical cases,
etc. :
2) total population morbidity related to a given period
INPUT DATA:
disease(s)-type/form (general
- crude or cause/attribute-specific;
apparent, true, reported, etc.) ? bovine tuberculosis
species, category(ies) ?
cattle,all
place, time-period ?
total number of animals
existing at the beginning of the
period ? 2987000
total number of animals
existing in the period ?
4161320
average total number of
animals existing in the period ?
3008500
number of diseased animals at
the beginning of the period ? 628276
number of diseased animals
existing in the period ? 753558
average number of diseased
animals in the period ? 629557
number of new diseased
animals in the period ? 125282
number of extinct diseased
animals
(dead+slaughtered+removed+recovered) in the period ? 124001
RESULT:
Initial point prevalence rate of diseased
animals =
0.2103
Period prevalence rate of
diseased animals =
0.1811
Average prevalence rate of
diseased animals =
0.2093
Incidence rate of diseased animals to
existing total =
0.0301
Incidence rate of diseased
animals to average total = 0.0416
Incidence rate of diseased
animals to initial total =
0.0419
Extinction rate of diseased animals to
existing total =
0.0298
Extinction rate of diseased
animals to average total =
0.0412
Extinction rate of diseased
animals to initial total =
0.0415
Do you want to calculate the relations of the numbers of diseased animals to those with other epi. characteristics, yes(y) or no(n) ? y
INPUT DATA:
given time ? 1.1.1960
number of diseased animals at
the given time ? 628276
number of healthy animals at
the given time ? 2358824
number of intrafocal animals
at the given time ? 520333
number of animals at risk at
the given time ? 288426
number of investigated
animals at the given time ? 2769776
RESULT:
Ratio of diseased/healthy
animals =
0.2664
Ratio of healthy/diseased
animals =
3.7544
Ratio of diseased/intrafocal
animals =
1.2074
Ratio of intrafocal/diseased
animals =
0.8282
Ratio of diseased/at risk
animals =
2.1783
Ratio of at risk/diseased
animals =
0.4591
Ratio of
diseased/investigated animals = 0.2268
Ratio of
investigated/diseased animals = 4.4085
2.4-SELECTED INDICATORS OF
ANIMAL POPULATION MORBIDITY
This subprogramme calculates indicators related to diseased animals
(unhealthy, affected, infected, invaded, pathogen carriers), clinical cases,
etc. :
3) specific transmissible
disease attack rates (intrafocal incidence)
INPUT DATA:
disease(s)-type/form (general
- crude or cause/attribute-specific;
apparent, true, reported, etc.) ? FMD-all true
species, category(ies) ?
cattle,all
place, time (period of the
epizootic) ? Czechoslovakia in 17 foci,1957-1960
definition of epizootic
initial stage ? up to first vet. measures
t o t a l number of
a n i m a l s at specific
risk at the b e g i n n i n g of intrafocal exposure ? 2089
t o t a l number of animals that develop d i s e a s e
during total period of specific epizootics ? 1076
diseased in i n i t i a l
stage (<total diseased)
? 125
RESULT
Specific disease attack rate
(case rate) = 0.5151
= 51.5079 %
Specific disease initial
stage attack rate = 0.0598
= 5.9837 %
Specific disease post-initial
stage attack rate (secondary attack
rate) = 0.4552 =
45.5242 %
Proportion of initial stage
attack rate = 0.1162
= 11.6171 %
Proportion of post-initial
stage attack rate = 0.8838
= 88.3829 %
Ratio initial/post-initial
stage attack rates = 1 :
7.6080
Ratio post-initial/initial
stage attack rates = 1 :
0.1314
2.4-SELECTED INDICATORS OF
ANIMAL POPULATION MORBIDITY
This subprogramme calculates indicators related to diseased animals
(unhealthy, affected, infected, invaded, pathogen carriers), clinical cases,
etc. :
4) proportional specific disease morbidity rate
INPUT DATA:
disease(s)-type/form (general
- crude or cause/attribute-specific;
apparent, true, reported, etc.) ? mastitis
species, category(ies) ?
cattle,milking cows
place, time (moment or
period) ? Ranch U.,1 June 2004
number of all diseased
animals at a given time ?
450
number of animals diseased
due to specific cause(s) only at a given
time ? 78
RESULT:
Proportional specific disease
morbidity rate = 0.1733
= 17.3333 %
2.4-SELECTED INDICATORS OF
ANIMAL POPULATION MORBIDITY
This subprogramme calculates indicators related to diseased animals
(unhealthy, affected, infected, invaded, pathogen carriers), clinical cases,
etc. :
5) morbidity
indicators related to animals at
risk (exposed)
INPUT DATA:
disease(s)-type/form (general
- crude or cause/attribute-specific;
apparent, true, reported, etc.) ? hog cholera
species, category(ies) ? pigs,all
place ? Region B.
Do you want to evaluate point
prevalence at a given moment (m) or indicators related to a given period (p) ? p
period ? 2004
total number of animals at
risk existing at the beginning of the
period ? 23000
total number of animals at
risk existing in the period ?
32000
average number of animals at
risk existing in the period ?
27500
number of diseased animals at
risk at beginning of the period ? 120
number of diseased animals at
risk existing in the period ? 3200
average number of diseased
animals at risk in the period ?
1800
number of new diseased animals
at risk in the period ? 3000
number of extinct (dead+slaughtered+removed+recovered) diseased animals at risk in the period ? 3320
RESULT:
Initial point prevalence rate
of diseased animals at risk = 0.0052
Period prevalence rate of
diseased animals at risk
= 0.1000
Average prevalence rate of
diseased animals at risk = 0.0655
Incidence rate of diseased
animals at risk to existing total = 0.0938
Incidence rate of diseased
animals at risk to average total = 0.1091
Incidence rate of diseased
animals at risk to initial total = 0.1304
Extinction rate of diseased
animals at risk to existing total =
0.1038
Extinction rate of diseased
animals at risk to average total = 0.1207
Extinction rate of diseased
animals at risk to initial total = 0.1443
2.4-SELECTED INDICATORS OF
ANIMAL POPULATION MORBIDITY
This subprogramme calculates indicators related to diseased animals
(unhealthy, affected, infected, invaded, pathogen carriers), clinical cases,
etc. :
6) animal-time incidence rate
INPUT DATA:
disease(s)-type/form (general
- crude or cause/attribute-specific;
apparent, true, reported, etc.) ? foot-and-mouth disease
species, category(ies) ?
cattle,all
place, time-period ?
Skrivany-Czech Republic,7-30/1/1961
animal-time unit (day, week,
month, year, etc.) ? day
number of new events
(diseased animals) in the period
? 99
Do you know absolute number of animal-time units at risk, yes(y) or no(n) ? n
average number of animals at
risk ? 153
period duration in time
units ?
23
RESULT:
Animal-time incidence
rate (interval incidence density) =
0.0281 animal-day at risk
2.5-SELECTED INDICATORS OF
ANIMAL POPULATION VIABILITY (SURVIVAL)
This subprogramme calculates
survival indicators according to: 1) general population aspects
INPUT DATA:
type/form of viability ?
general
species, category(ies) ?
cattle,all
place, period ? Czech
republic,1973
number of animals existing at
the beginning of the period ? 3309300
number of animals surviving
at the end of the period ? 3406300
number of animals existing in
the period ? 4408000
number of animals born (live births)
in the period ? 1315000
number of naturally dead
animals in the period ? 99000
number of animals slaughtered
in the period ? 1118000
RESULT:
Animal population
viability index =
1.0805
Animal population natality rate (crude live birth rate) =
0.2983 = 29.8321 %
Animal population survival
rate = 1.0293
= 102.9311 %
2.5-SELECTED INDICATORS OF
ANIMAL POPULATION VIABILITY (SURVIVAL)
This subprogramme calculates survival
indicators according to: 2) specific health/disease aspects
INPUT DATA:
animals health status -
specify: tb free
species, category(ies) ?
cattle,cows
place, period ? Ranch T.,2004
number of animals existing at
the beginning of the period ? 800
number of animals surviving
at the end of the period ? 750
number of animals existing in
the period ? 1100
number of animals born (live
births) in the period ? 300
number of naturally dead
animals in the period ? 50
number of animals slaughtered
in the period ? 30
RESULT:
Animal population
viability index =
3.7500
Animal population natality
rate (crude live birth rate) =
0.2727 = 27.2727 %
Animal population survival
rate = 0.9375
= 93.7500 %
2.5-SELECTED INDICATORS OF
ANIMAL POPULATION VIABILITY (SURVIVAL)
This subprogramme calculates
survival indicators according to: 3) reproduction categories aspects
INPUT DATA:
type/form of viability ?
reproduction - general
species, category(ies) ?
cattle,all
place, period ? Czech
Republic,1973
number of animals existing in
the period ? 4408000
number of animals born (live
births) in the period ? 1315000
number of females in
reproductive age existing in the
period ? 1330000
number of weaned new born
animals in the period ?
1250000
RESULT:
Animal population fertility
rate = 0.9887
= 98.8722 %
Animal population natality
rate (crude live birth rate) =
0.2983 = 29.8321 %
Animal survival-to-weaning
rate (weaned new born animals'
rate) = 0.9506
= 95.0570 %
2.5-SELECTED INDICATORS OF
ANIMAL POPULATION VIABILITY (SURVIVAL)
This subprogramme calculates
survival indicators according to: 4) breeding/production categories aspects
INPUT DATA:
type/form of viability ?
during breeding/fattening
species, category(ies) ?
cattle,young and in feedlots
place, period ? Ranch
D.,2002-2003
number of animals at the
beginning of breeding period ? 560
number of animals surviving
to the end of breeding period ? 504
number of animals at the
beginning of fattening period ? 1200
number of animals surviving
to the end of fattening period ? 1150
RESULT:
Breeding animals survival
rate = 0.9000
= 90.0000 %
Fattening animals survival
rate = 0.9583
= 95.8333 %
2.6-SELECTED INDICATORS OF
ANIMAL POPULATION MORTALITY
Do you want to evaluate general-crude
mortality / crude death rate (g) or cause/category specific death rate -
specific disease mortality (s) or
neonatal mortality rate (n) ? g
INPUT DATA:
type of mortality ? crude
(general)
place, period ? Czech
Republic,1973
species, category(ies) ?
cattle,all
total number of animals
existing at the beginning of the
period ? 3093000
total number of animals
existing in the period ?
4408000
average total number of
animals in the period ?
3130000
total number of naturally
dead animals in the period ?
99000
total number of slaughtered
animals in the period ?
1118000
total number of diseased
animals in the period ?
total number of diseased
animals naturally dead ?
RESULT:
Animal population total
mortality rate to initial total =
0.3935
Animal population total
mortality rate to existing total =
0.2761
Animal population total
mortality rate to average total =
0.3888
Animal population natural
mortality rate to initial total =
0.0320
Animal population natural
mortality rate to existing total = 0.0225
Animal population natural
mortality rate to average total =
0.0316
Slaughtered animals rate to
initial total =
0.3615
Slaughtered animals rate to
existing total = 0.2536
Slaughtered animals rate to
average total =
0.3572
Note: 'total mortality' is based
on a sum of dead and slaughtered animals;
'natural mortality' is based on naturally dead animals only.
2.6-SELECTED INDICATORS OF
ANIMAL POPULATION MORTALITY
Do you want to evaluate general-crude mortality / crude death rate (g)or
cause/category specific death rate - specific
disease mortality (s) or neonatal
mortality rate (n) ? s
INPUT DATA:
specific disease(s)/form ?
Aujeszky disease
place, period ?
Czechoslovakia,1973
species, category(ies) ?
pigs,all
total number of animals
existing at the beginning of the
period ? 6093000
total number of animals
existing in the period ?
average total number of
animals in the period ?
6179000
total number of naturally
dead animals in the period ?
250000
number of specifically
diseased animals existing in the
period ? 24143
number of naturally dead
specifically diseased animals in the
period ? 17137
number of slaughtered
specifically diseased animals in the
period ? 6500
RESULT:
Specific disease total
mortality rate to initial total =
0.0039
Specific disease total
mortality rate to average total =
0.0038
Specific disease natural
mortality rate to initial total =
0.0028
Specific disease natural
mortality rate to average total =
0.0028
Specificaly diseased
slaughtered animals rate to initial total
= 0.0011
Specificaly diseased
slaughtered animals rate to average total
= 0.0011
Specific disease case fatality
rate (lethality) =
0.7098
Specific disease proportional
case fatality rate =
0.0685
2.6-SELECTED INDICATORS OF
ANIMAL POPULATION MORTALITY
Do you want to evaluate general-crude mortality / crude death rate (g) or
cause/category specific death rate - specific disease mortality (s) or neonatal
mortality rate (n) ? n
INPUT DATA:
place, period ? Czech
republic,1989
species, category(ies) ?
cattle,calves
number of live animal births
in the period ? 1302253
number of deaths of new born
animals in the period ? 62811
RESULT:
Animal population neonatal
mortality rate = 0.0482
= 4.82 %
2.7-SELECTED INDICATORS OF
ANIMAL DISEASE NIDALITY (FOCALITY)
INPUT DATA:
disease(s) ? bovine brucellosis species ? cattle
focal measure units (herds,
flocks, farms, ranches, etc.) ? ranches
definition of foci ? affected
by brucellosis
type(s)/form(s) of foci
(outbreaks) ? all (acute+chronic+in observation) place ? Czech republic
(coop.+state sectors)
territorial surface measure
units, total number ? km2,78864
Do you want to calculate
indicators related to the given moment
(m) or indicators related to the given period (p) ? m
time-moment ? 1 January 1961
number of focal measure units
existing at the given moment ? 8403
number of foci existing at
the given moment ? 518
number of animals existing in
foci at the given moment ? 110891
RESULT:
Point prevalence rate of
foci = 0.0616
= 6.1645 %
Average number of intrafocal
animals at the given moment =
214.1
Average density of foci per
km2 = 0.006568
Ratio of km2 per one
focus = 152.25
2.7-SELECTED INDICATORS OF
ANIMAL DISEASE NIDALITY (FOCALITY)
INPUT DATA:
disease(s) ? bovine
brucellosis species ? cattle
focal measure units (herds,
flocks, farms, ranches, etc.) ? ranches
definition of foci ? affected
by brucellosis
type(s)/form(s) of foci
(outbreaks) ? all (acute+chronic+in observation) place ? Czech Republic (coop.+state
sectors)
territorial surface measure
units, total number ? km2,78864
Do you want to calculate
indicators related to the given moment (m) or indicators related to the given period (p) ? p
time-period ? 1961
number of focal measure units
existing at the beginning of the
period ? 8403
number of foci existing at
the beginning of the period ? 518
number of focal measure units
existing in the period ? 8403
number of foci existing in
the period ? 559
average number of focal
measure units in the period ? 7486
average number of foci in the
period ? 473
number of new foci in the
period ? 41
number of extinct foci in the
period ? 131
number of animals existing in
foci in the period ? 120321
RESULT:
Initial point prevalence rate
of foci =
0.0616
Period prevalence rate of
foci =
0.0665
Average prevalence rate of
foci = 0.0632
Incidence rate of foci to
existing total = 0.0049
Extinction rate of foci to
existing total = 0.0156
Average density of foci per
km2 = 0.0071
Average number of intrafocal
animals in the given period = 215.2
2.8 SELECTED INDICATORS OF ANIMAL DISEASE
TERRITORIAL DISTRIBUTION
INPUT DATA:
place ? 1.1.1962
disease(s) ? brucellosis (all forms)
species ? cattle
category(ies) ? all
surface measure units ? km2 Czechoslovakia
surface of evaluated territory ?
127870 km2
Do you want to calculate indicators related to the given moment (m) or indicators related to the
given period (p) ? m
time-moment ? 1.1.1962
affected zones size existing at the given moment : 25000
number of animals existing in affected zones at the given moment ?
960000
RESULT:
Point prevalence rate of
affected area = 0.1955
= 19.5511 %
Average number of animals in
affected area per surface unit =
38.40
2.8-SELECTED INDICATORS OF
ANIMAL DISEASE TERRITORIAL DISTRIBUTION (villages, districts, regions, provinces,
counties, zones, countries, etc.)
INPUT DATA:
disease(s)/form ? screwworm
species, category(ies) ?
mammals,all
place (territory) ? Country
L.
surface measure units ? km2
total number of surface
measure units of the territory ? 65000
Do you want to calculate
indicators related to the given moment (m) or indicators related to the given period (p) ? p
time-period ? 1988
number of surface units of
affected area at the beginning of the
period ? 13000
number of surface units of
affected area existing in the period
? 15600
average number of measure
units of affected area in the period
? 14500
number of surface units of new affected
area in the period ? 2600
number of surface units of
extinct affected area (become free) in
the period ? 200
RESULT:
Initial point prevalence rate
of affected area =
0.2000
Period prevalence rate of
affected area =
0.2400
Average prevalence rate of
affected area =
0.2231
Incidence rate of affected
area =
0.0400
Extinction rate of affected
area (recovery rate) = 0.0031
2.9-HUMAN/ANIMAL POPULATIONS
AND ZOONOSES
This subprogramme
calculates: 1) human population density and distribution
INPUT DATA
place (territory), time ?
Czech Republic,1.1.1986
space measure units ? km2
List data :
1 subterritory, size, persons ? Prague
City,496,1193513
2 subterritory, size, persons ?
Cent.Bohemia,10994,1137086
3 subterritory, size, persons ? South
Bohemia,11345,695066
4 subterritory, size, persons ? West
Bohemia,10875,873239
5 subterritory, size, persons ? North
Bohemia,7819,1183145
6 subterritory, size, persons ? East
Bohemia,11240,1244452
7 subterritory, size, persons ? South
Moravia,15028,2058020
8 subterritory, size, persons ? North
Moravia,11067,1958877
RESULT:
Subterritory km2
Number of Average Proportion Percentage
Inhabitants Number
Prague City 496
1193513
2406.28
0.115389 11.5389
Cent.Bohemia 10994
1137086 103.43
0.109934 10.9934
South Bohemia 11345
695066 61.27
0.067199 6.7199
West Bohemia 10875
873239 80.30
0.084425 8.4425
North Bohemia 7819
1183145 151.32
0.114386 11.4386
East Bohemia 11240
1244452 110.72
0.120314 12.0314
South Moravia 15028
2058020 136.95
0.198969
19.8969
North Moravia 11067
1958877 177.00
0.189384 18.9384
T o t a l 78864
10343398 131.15
1.000000 100.0000
2.9- HUMAN/ANIMAL POPULATIONS
AND ZOONOSES
This subprogramme
calculates: 2) human population categories structure
INPUT DATA
place (territory), time ?
Czech Republic,1982
category according to ? age
of man
List data :
1 category, number of persons ? 0-14
years,1120000
2 category, number of persons ? 15-59
years,2860000
3 category, number of persons ? 60+
years,1220000
RESULT:
Category Number of Proportion Percentage
Inhabitants
0-14 years 1120000 0.215385 21.5385
15-59 years 2860000 0.550000 55.0000
60+ years 1220000 0.234615 23.4615
T o t a l 5200000 1.000000
100.0000
2.9-HUMAN/ANIMAL POPULATIONS
AND ZOONOSES
This subprogramme
calculates: 3) ratios of animal/human populations
INPUT DATA
place (territory), time ?
Czech Republic,1.1.1996
animal species ? cattle
number of animals ? 3462000
number of persons ? 10343398
RESULT:
Ratio of animals per one
person = 0.334706
: 1
Ratio of persons per one
animal = 2.987694
: 1
2.9-HUMAN/ANIMAL POPULATIONS
AND ZOONOSES
This subprogramme
calculates: 4) ratios of animals/humans diseased by zoonoses
INPUT DATA
place (territory), time ?
Czechoslovakia,1961
zoonotic disease(s) ? bovine
brucellosis indicator ? new cases
animal species ? cattle
number of animals ? 4518000
number of diseased
animals ? 4279
number of persons ? 15000000
number of diseased
persons ? 110
RESULT:
Ratio of diseased animals per
one person = 0.0003
: 1
Ratio of diseased animals per
one diseased person = 38.9000
: 1
Ratio of diseased persons per
one animal = 0.0000
: 1
Ratio of diseased persons per
one diseased animal = 0.0257
: 1
3-SELECTED INDICATORS OF
ANIMAL POPULATION HEALTH STRUCTURES
=================================================================
1-Animal
population epizootiological structure
2-Animal population disease territorial
structure
3-Animal population diseases foci
(outbreaks) types' structure
4-Territory epizootiological structure
5-Morbidity, mortality and nidality
structure by causes/forms
6-Disease occurrence according to
animal species and categories
7-Disease occurrence according to
breeding/production conditions
8-Disease occurrence according to
ecological conditions
9-Tables of animal disease occurrence
acc. to dif. criteria
10-Tables of animal population, farms
and territory epi. structure
11-Tables of disease foci and
intrafocal structure
12-Proportions of disease different
forms/symptoms findings
13-Proportions of specific etiological
agents/antibodies findings
3.1-ANIMAL POPULATION
EPIZOOTIOLOGICAL STRUCTURE
INPUT DATA:
disease(s) ? bovine
tuberculosis
place, time ? Czechoslovakia
(coop+state sectors),1.1.1964
species, category(ies) ?
cattle,all
total number of animals of a given
population ? 3849365
number of
epizootiologically h e a l t h y animals
? 2133275
number of exposed
epizootiologically healthy animals ?
940006
number of directly exposed
epiz. healthy animals ? 300000
number of animals
epizootiologically i n d e t e r m i n a
t e with clinical symptoms ? 500
number of
epizootiologically a f f e c t e d ( d i s e a s e d ) animals ? 438173
number of animals
epizootiologically affected (diseased)
with clinical symptoms ? 4300
RESULT:
Number Proportion
Epizootiologically healthy animals 2133275 0.5542
Non-exposed epi.healthy
animals 1193269
0.3100
Exposed epi.healthy
animals 940006 0.2442
Indirectly exposed healthy
animals 640006
0.1663
Directly exposed healthy
animals 300000 0.0779
Epizootiologically indeterminate animals 1277917 0.3320
Epiz.indeterminate anim.
without symptoms 1277417
0.3319
Epiz.indeterminate animals
with symptoms 500 0.0001
Epizootiologically affected (diseased) animals 438173 0.1138
Epiz.affected animals without
symptoms 433873 0.1127
Epiz.affected animals with
symptoms 4300 0.0011
T o t a l 3849365 1.0000
3.2-ANIMAL POPULATION DISEASE
TERRITORIAL STRUCTURE
This subprogramme
calculates: 1) diseased animals' territorial density
and distribution
INPUT DATA:
place (territory), time ?
Czech Republic,1 July 1060
species, category(ies) ?
cattle,all
disease(s) ? bovine
tuberculosis
space measure units ? km2
List data :
1 subterritory, size, diseased
animals ? Central Bohemia,11490,146838
2 subterritory, size, diseased
animals ? South Bohemia,11345,70121
3 subterritory, size, diseased
animals ? West Bohemia,10875,89458
4 subterritory, size, diseased
animals ? North Bohemia,7819,90948
5 subterritory, size, diseased
animals ? East Bohemia,11240,70011
6 subterritory, size, diseased
animals ? South Moravia,15028,89014
7 subterritory, size, diseased
animals ? North Moravia,11067,78012
RESULT:
Subterritory km2
Diseased Average Proportion Percentage
Animals Number
of Total of
Total
Central Bohemia 11490
146838
12.78
0.231459 23.1459
South Bohemia 11345 70121 6.18 0.110531 11.0531
West Bohemia 10875 89458 8.23
0.141012 14.1012
North Bohemia 7819 90948 11.63
0.143360 14.3360
East Bohemia 11240 70011
6.23
0.110357 11.0357
South Moravia 15028
89014 5.92
0.140312 14.0312
North Moravia 11067 78012 7.05
0.122969 12.2969
T o t a l 78864 634402
8.04
1.000000 100.0000
3.2-ANIMAL POPULATION DISEASE
TERRITORIAL STRUCTURE
This subprogramme calculates: 2) farms - diseased animals' average number
and territorial distribution
INPUT DATA:
place (territory), time ?
Czech Republic -cooperatives, 1.1.1964
species, category(ies) ?
cattle,all disease(s) ? bovine tuberculosis
List data :
1 subter., farms, diseased
animals ? Central Bohemia,2600,64960
2 subter., farms, diseased
animals ? South Bohemia,1474,21126
3 subter., farms, diseased
animals ? West Bohemia,916,15754
4 subter., farms, diseased
animals ? North Bohemia,562,26580
5 subter., farms, diseased
animals ? East Bohemia,2853,15302
6 subter., farms, diseased animals
? South Moravia,1831,16768
7 subter., farms, diseased
animals ? North Moravia,2498,19685
RESULT:
Subterritory Farms
Diseased Average Proportion
Percentage
Animals
Number
of Total of
Total
Central Bohemia 2600 64960 24.98
0.204178
20.4178
South Bohemia 1474 21126 14.33 0.115753
11.5753
West Bohemia 916
15754 17.20
0.071933 7.1933
North Bohemia 562 26580 47.30
0.044134 4.4134
East Bohemia 2853
15302 5.36 0.224046 22.4046
South Moravia 1831 16768 9.16
0.143788 14.3788
North Moravia 2498 19685 7.88
0.196168
19.6168
T o t a l 12734 180175 14.15 1.000000
100.0000
3.2-ANIMAL POPULATION DISEASE
TERRITORIAL STRUCTURE
This subprogramme calculates: 3) diseased
animals' simple territorial distribution
INPUT DATA:
place (territory), time ?
Czech Republic, 1.7.1960
species, category(ies) ? cattle,all disease(s) ? bovine tuberculosis
List data:
1 subterritory, diseased animals
? Central Bohemia,146838
2 subterritory, diseased animals
? South Bohemia,70121
3 subterritory, diseased animals
? West Bohemia,89458
4 subterritory, diseased animals
? North Bohemia,90948
5 subterritory, diseased animals
? East Bohemia,70011
6 subterritory, diseased animals
? South Moravia,89014
7 subterritory, diseased animals
? North Moravia,78012
RESULT:
Subterritory Diseased Proportion Percentage
Animals of Total of Total
Central Bohemia 146838 0.231459 23.1459
South Bohemia 70121 0.110531 11.0531
West Bohemia 89458 0.141012 14.1012
North Bohemia 90948 0.143360 14.3360
East Bohemia 70011 0.110357 11.0357
South Moravia 89014
0.140312 14.0312
North Moravia 78012
0.122969 12.2969
T o t a l 634402 1.000000 100.0000
3.3-ANIMAL DISEASE FOCI
(OUTBREAKS) TYPES' STRUCTURE
INPUT DATA:
disease(s) ? bovine
tuberculosis species ? cattle
type(s)/form(s) of foci
(outbreaks) ? all (acute+chronic+in observation)
focal measure units (animal
housings, herds/flocks areas, farms, ranches, villages, etc.) ? ranches
place ? Czechoslovakia time-moment ? 1.7.1960
total number of foci existing
at the given moment ? 797
number of foci with affected (clinically +
subclinically) animals at the given
moment ? 546
number of foci with
subclinically only affected animals at
the given moment ? 245
number of foci without
susceptible animals (depopulated) at the
given moment ? 0
RESULT:
Characteristics Number
Proportion Percentage
With affected animals 546
0.6851
68.5069
clinically 301 0.3777 37.7666
subclinically only 245
0.3074
30.7403
With non-affected animals
(in
observation) 251
0.3149 31.4931
Without susceptible animals
(depopulated) 0
0.0000 0.0000
T o t a l 797
1.0000 100.0000
3.4-TERRITORY EPIZOOTIOLOGICAL
STRUCTURE (villages, districts, regions,
provinces, counties, countries, zones, etc.)
INPUT DATA:
territory ? Province C. time-moment ? 1.1.2004
disease(s) ? foot-and-mouth
disease
species, category(ies) ?
ruminants,all
surface measure units ? km2
total number of surface
measure units of the territory ? 34000
total number of specifically
diseased animals in the territory ? 438173
number of surface measure
units of specific disease(s) free
zones ? 29000
number of surface measure
units of exposed specific disease(s)
free zones (at risk) ? 3500
number of surface measure
units of zones affected by specific
disease(s) ? 1500
RESULT:
Average density of specifically
diseased animals per one km2 = 12.89
km2
Proportion %
Disease(s) free zones 29000 0.8529
85.29
Non-exposed free zones (out
of risk) 25500 0.7500
75.00
Exposed free zones (at
risk) 3500 0.1029
10.29
Indeterminate zone 3500 0.1029
10.29
Affected zones 1500
0.0441
4.41
T o t a l 34000 1.0000 100.00
3.5-MORBIDITY, MORTALITY,
NIDALITY AND TERRITORY STRUCTURE
ACCORDING TO DIFFERENT CAUSES/FORMS
Do you want to evaluate the structure of: morbidity (d) or mortality (m) or nidality/focality (f) or affected
territory (t) ? d
INPUT DATA:
type/form of morbidity ?
mastitis species, category(ies) ? cattle,cows
place, time ? Czechoslovakia
(coop+state sectors),31.12.1976
List data :
1 cause/form, number of cases ? path. without symptoms,14355
2 cause/form, number of cases ? latent mastitis,234537
3 cause/form, number of cases ? acute mastitis,28029
4 cause/form, number of cases ? chronic mastitis,70906
RESULT:
Cause/form Number of Proportion Percentage
Cases/units
1 path. without sympto 14355
0.0413
4.1271
2 latent mastitis 234537
0.6743
67.4292
3 acute mastitis 28029
0.0806
8.0583
4 chronic mastitis 70906
0.2039
20.3854
T o t a l 347827
1.0000
100.0000
3.5-MORBIDITY, MORTALITY,
NIDALITY AND TERRITORY STRUCTURE
ACCORDING TO DIFFERENT CAUSES/FORMS
Do you want to evaluate the structure of: morbidity (d) or mortality (m) or nidality/focality (f)
or affected territory (t) ? m
INPUT DATA:
type/form of mortality ?
according to etiological agents
species, category(ies) ?
pigs,all
place, time ?
Czechoslovakia,1962
List data:
1 cause/form, number of cases ? infections,76701
2 cause/form, number of cases ? internal dis.,83089
3 cause/form, number of cases ? gastro-int.d.,41685
4 cause/form, number of cases ? nutrit./tox.,15966
5 cause/form, number of cases ? trauma,10707
6 cause/form, number of cases ? external d.,4081
7 cause/form, number of cases ? reproduction d.,3457
8 cause/form, number of cases ? parasitic dis.,448
9 cause/form, number of cases ? other diseases,15833
RESULT:
Cause/form Number of Proportion Percentage
Cases/units
1 infections 76701
0.3044
30.4409
2 internal dis. 83089 0.3298 32.9761
3 gastro-int.d. 41685
0.1654 16.5438
4 nutrit./tox. 15966
0.0634
6.3365
5 trauma 10707 0.0425 4.2494
6 external d. 4081
0.0162 1.6197
7 reproduction d. 3457 0.0137
1.3720
8 parasitic dis. 448
0.0018
0.1778
9 other diseases 15833 0.0628
6.2838
T o t a l 251967
1.0000
100.0000
3.5-MORBIDITY, MORTALITY,
NIDALITY AND TERRITORY STRUCTURE
ACCORDING TO DIFFERENT CAUSES/FORMS
Do you want to evaluate the structure of: morbidity (d) or mortality (m)
or nidality/focality (f) or affected
territory (t) ? f
INPUT DATA:
type/form of nidality ?
regions with bovine brucellosis
species, category(ies) ?
cattle,all
place, time ?
Czechoslovakia,1.7.1960
List data :
1 cause/form, number of cases ? prevalence 0-5 %,38
2 cause/form, number of cases ? prevalence 5-10 %,6
3 cause/form, number of cases ? prevalence 10-15 %,2
4 cause/form, number of cases ? prevalence 15-20 %,5
5 cause/form, number of cases ? prevalence 20-25 %,1
RESULT:
Cause/form Number of Proportion Percentage
Cases/units
1
prevalence 0-5 % 38 0.7308 73.0769
2
prevalence 5-10 % 6
0.1154 11.5385
3
prevalence 10-15 % 2
0.0385 3.8462
4
prevalence 15-20 % 5
0.0962 9.6154
5
prevalence 20-25 % 1
0.0192 1.9231
T o t a l 52
1.0000 100.0000
3.5-MORBIDITY, MORTALITY,
NIDALITY AND TERRITORY STRUCTURE
ACCORDING TO DIFFERENT CAUSES/FORMS
Do you want to evaluate the structure of: morbidity (d) or mortality (m)
or nidality/focality (f) or affected
territory (t) ? t
INPUT DATA:
type/form of affected
territory ? by foot-and-mouth disease
place, time ? Country V.,2002
space measure units ? km2
List data :
1 cause/form, number of space units ? acute course,1500
2 cause/form, number of space units ? chronic course,3000
3 cause/form, number of space units ? serol.evidence,7500
4 cause/form, number of space units ? free,9000
RESULT:
Cause/form Number of Proportion Percentage
km2
1 acute course 1500
0.0714 7.1429
2 chronic course 3000
0.1429
14.2857
3 serol.evidence 7500 0.3571 35.7143
4 free 9000
0.4286
42.8571
T o t a l 21000 1.0000 100.0000
3.6-DISEASE OCCURRENCE
STRUCTURE ACCORDING TO ANIMAL SPECIES AND CATEGORIES
This subprogramme calculates disease occurrence according to 1) species
(host range)
INPUT DATA:
disease ? rabies (WHO Rabies
Bulletin Europe - 4/92
place, time ? Europe,1992
List data:
name of the species, number of diseased animals:
1 : ? dog,778
2 : ? cat,622
3 : ? cattle,919
4 : ? horse,52
5 : ?
sheep/goat,315
6 : ? other
dom.anim.,17
7 : ? fox,7318
8 : ? badger,165
9 : ? other
mustel,265
10 : ? deer,251
11 : ? other wild
an.,361
RESULT:
Species Diseased Proportion Percentage
Animals
dog 778
0.070325 7.0325
cat 622
0.056223
5.6223
cattle 919 0.083070 8.3070
horse 52 0.004700 0.4700
sheep/goat 315 0.028473 2.8473
other dom.anim. 17
0.001537 0.1537
fox 7318 0.661484 66.1484
badger 165 0.014915 1.4915
other mustel 265 0.023954 2.3954
deer 251 0.022688 2.2688
other wild an. 361
0.032631 3.2631
T o t a l 11063
1.000000 100.0000
3.6-DISEASE OCCURRENCE
STRUCTURE ACCORDING TO ANIMAL SPECIES AND CATEGORIES
This subprogramme calculates disease occurrence according to 2) categories
Animal categories according
to: breed, age, gender, weight,
physiological stage, nutrition status, immunity
status, type/level of productivity, type of breeding, type of exploitation,
performance, production stage, technology,
concentration, etc.
INPUT DATA:
disease ? bovine tuberculosis
place, time ?
Czechoslovakia,1964
species, category according
to ? cattle,age/sex
List data:
name of the subgroup, number of diseased animals:
1 : ? cows,31412
2 : ? heifers >1
year,8556
3 : ? heifers 3-12
m.,5207
4 : ? calves,6756
5 : ? others,32202
RESULT:
Category Diseased Proportion Percentage
Subgroup Animals
cows 31412
0.373361 37.3361
heifers >1 year 8556 0.101696 10.1696
heifers 3-12 m. 5207 0.061890 6.1890
calves 6756
0.080301 8.0301
others 32202
0.382751 38.2751
T o t a l 84133 1.000000
100.0000
3.7-DISEASE OCCURRENCE
ACCORDING TO BREEDING/PRODUCTION CONDITIONS
(according to: animal breeding/production exploitation, technology, concentration,
housing/herd/flock/farm size, management, sector, etc.)
INPUT DATA:
disease(s) ? bovine
tuberculosis species ? cattle
place, time ? Czechoslovakia,1.1.1961
type of conditions ?
production sector criterion for subgrouping ? sector
name of the subgroup, number of
diseased animals:
1 : ?
cooperatives,38845
2 : ? state
ranches,59605
3 : ? other state
sect.,6148
4 : ? private,635
RESULT:
Subgroup Diseased Proportion Percentage
Animals
cooperatives 38845 0.369133
36.9133
state ranches 59605 0.566410
56.6410
other state sect 6148
0.058423 5.8423
private 635 0.006034 0.6034
T o t a l 105233 1.000000
100.0000
3.7-DISEASE OCCURRENCE
ACCORDING TO BREEDING/PRODUCTION CONDITIONS
(according to: animal breeding/production exploitation, technology, concentration,
housing/herd/flock/farm size, management, sector, etc.)
INPUT DATA:
disease(s) ? bovine
spongiform encephalopathy species ? cattle
place, time ? United
Kingdom,1992
type of conditions ? herd
size
criterion for subgrouping ? herd
size
name of the subgroup, number of
diseased animals:
1 : ? size
<50,779
2 : ? size
50-99,2384
3 : ? size
100-199,2615
4 : ? size
>199,425
RESULT:
Subgroup Diseased Proportion Percentage
Animals
size <50 779
0.125584 12.5584
size 50-99 2384 0.384330 38.4330
size 100-199 2615
0.421570 42.1570
size >199 425 0.068515
6.8515
T o t a l 6203 1.000000
100.0000
3.8-DISEASE OCCURRENCE
ACCORDING TO ECOLOGICAL CONDITIONS
[atmospherical, geospherical, hydrospherical and biospherical
(flora/fauna) factors; hygiene, etc.]
INPUT DATA:
disease(s) ? Thelaziasis
rhodesi (acc.Prof.Hovorka) species ? cattle
place, time ? Carpat yone in
Slovakia,1967
type of ecological conditions
? clima criterion for subgrouping ? climatic zones
name of the subgroup, number of diseased animals:
1 : ? lowland
pastures,113
2 : ? lowland
wood,207
3 : ?
under-mount.,190
4 : ? mountains,62
RESULT:
Subgroup Diseased Proportion Percentage
Animals
lowland pastures 113 0.197552 19.7552
lowland wood 207
0.361888 36.1888
under-mount. 190
0.332168 33.2168
mountains 62 0.108392 10.8392
T o t a l 572 1.000000 100.0000
3.9-TABLES OF POPULATION
DISEASE OCCURRENCE ACCORDING TO SPECIES,
CATEGORIES, ECOLOGICAL AND ECONOMIC CONDITIONS
This subprogramme creates space/time tables of: 1) population
disease occurrence according to species
INPUT DATA
place, time (period) ?
Central Europe,1992
disease ? rabies in wild
animals
name of the species 1 ?
fox
name of the species 2 ?
badger
name of the species 3 ?
oth.mustel
name of the species 4 ?
deer
name of the species 5 ? others
data according to subterritories (s) or time (t) ? s
measure units ? disease cases
Row names, values of individual
columns following this sequence:
Subterritory, fox, badger, oth.mustel, deer, others,
1 row: ?
Czechoslov.,775,8,19,4,1
2 row: ? Austria,17,0,0,0,0
3 row: ?
Germany,1011,24,51,56,9
4 row: ? Hungary,694,1,6,3,3
5 row: ?
Poland,2079,25,84,113,246
RESULT:
Subterritory T o t a l fox
badger oth.mustel deer
others
Czechoslov. 807
775
8
19
4 1
Austria 17
17
0 0
0 0
Germany 1151
1011 24
51 56
9
Hungary 707
694
1 6
3 3
Poland 2547
2079 25
84 113
246
T o t a l 5229
4576 58 160
176 259
Proportion 1.0000 0.8751
0.0111 0.0306
0.0337
0.0495
3.9-TABLES OF POPULATION
DISEASE OCCURRENCE ACCORDING TO SPECIES,
CATEGORIES, ECOLOGICAL AND ECONOMIC CONDITIONS
This subprogramme creates
space/time tables of: 3) population disease occurrence according to
ecological conditions
INPUT DATA
place, time (period) ?
Province T.,1999
disease ? trypanosomiasis species ? cattle,all
name of the conditions 1 ?
forest
name of the conditions 2 ?
woodland
name of the conditions 3 ?
savana
name of the conditions 4 ?
grassland
name of the conditions 5 ?
steppe
data according to subterritories (s) or time (t) ? s
measure units ? diseased
animals
number of rows ? 4
Row names, values of individual columns following this sequence: Subterritory, forest, woodland, savana,
grassland, steppe,
1 row: ? Region
O.,15,45,567,780,34
2 row: ? Region
U.,20,56,789,980,58
3 row: ? Region
C.,0,0,346,234,12
4 row: ? Region
K.,34,12,432,670,45
RESULT:
Subterritory T o t a l
forest woodland
savana grassland steppe
Region O. 1441
15
45
567
780 34
Region U. 1903 20
56 789
980 58
Region C. 592
0 0
346 234
12
Region K. 1193
34 12
432 670
45
T o t a l 5129
69 113
2134 2664
149
Proportion 1.0000
0.0135 0.0220 0.4161
0.5194
0.0291
3.9-TABLES OF POPULATION
DISEASE OCCURRENCE ACCORDING TO SPECIES, CATEGORIES, ECOLOGICAL AND ECONOMIC
CONDITIONS
This subprogramme creates space/time tables of: 4) population
disease occurrence according to economic conditions
INPUT DATA
place, time (period) ? Czech
republic,1.1.1960-1.1.1965
disease ? bovine brucellosis species ? cattle
number of conditions (for table head) ? 4
name of the conditions 1 ?
Private
name of the conditions 2 ?
Cooper.
name of the conditions 3 ?
StateFarm
name of the conditions 4 ?
Other SF
data according to
subterritories (s) or time (t) ? t
measure units ? diseased
animals
number of rows ? 6
Row names, values of individual
columns following this sequence:
Time, Private, Cooper., StateFarm, Other SF,
1 row: ?
1.1.1960,848,39044,51373,7371
2 row: ?
1.1.1961,635,39845,59605,6148
3 row: ?
1.1.1962,228,36277,43299,8597
4 row: ? 1.1.1963,80,25095,20994,20791
5 row: ?
1.1.1964,28,9947,7530,10782
6 row: ? 1.1.1965,0,0,0,0
RESULT:
Time T o t a l Private Cooper.
StateFarm Other SF
1.1.1960 98636 848 39044
51373 7371
1.1.1961 106233 635 39845
59605 6148
1.1.1962 88401 228 36277
43299 8597
1.1.1963 66960 80 25095
20994 20791
1.1.1964 28287 28 9947
7530 10782
1.1.1965 0
0
0 0 0
3.10-TABLES OF ANIMAL
POPULATION, FARMS AND TERRITORY EPI.STRUCTURES
This subprogramme facilitates the creation of tables according to space and
time with following structures: 1) total, free and diseased animals
INPUT DATA
title ? STRUCTURE OF CATTLE
POPULATION ACCORDING TO TUBERCULOSIS
disease ? bovine tuberculosis species ? cattle
place, time ? Czechoslovakia,1961-1967
number
of rows ? 7
data according to
subterritories (s) or time (t) ? t
Row names, values of individual columns following this sequence: Time, total animals, disease free animals,
diseased animals
1 row: ?
1.1.1961,4387350,379094,829095
2 row: ?
1.1.1962,4518291,538404,734850
3 row: ?
1.1.1963,4507175,821142,589736
4 row: ?
1.1.1964,4479806,1193269,438173
5 row: ?
1.1.1965,4436166,1436824,312123
6 row: ?
1.1.1966,4388984,1879248,194489
7 row: ? 1.1.1967,4462073,2350429,95829
RESULT:
Time T o t a l Dis. Free
Proportion Indeterm. Affected
Proportion
1.1.1961 4387350 379094
0.0864
3179161 829095
0.1890
1.1.1962 4518291 538404
0.1192 3245037
734850 0.1626
1.1.1963 4507175 821142
0.1822
3096297 589736
0.1308
1.1.1964 4479806 1193269
0.2664 2848364
438173 0.0978
1.1.1965 4436166 1436824
0.3239 2687219 312123
0.0704
1.1.1966 4388984 1879248
0.4282 2315247
194489 0.0443
1.1.1967 4462073 2350429
0.5268 2015815
95829 0.0215
3.10-TABLES OF ANIMAL
POPULATION, FARMS AND TERRITORY EPI.STRUCTURES
This subprogramme facilitates the creation of tables according to space and
time with following structures: 2) total, free and affected herds
INPUT DATA
title ? CATTLE HERDS
STRUCTURE ACCORDING TO BOVINE TUBERCULOSIS
disease ? bovine tuberculosis species
? cattle
place, time ? Czech Republic,1960-1966
number of rows ? 7
data according to
subterritories (s) or time (t) ? t
Row names, values of individual columns following this sequence: Time, total herds, disease free herds,
affected herds
1 row: ?
1.1.1960,12154,1518,10636
2 row: ?
1.1.1961,10625,1557,9068
3 row: ?
1.1.1962,7191,1857,5334
4 row: ?
1.1.1963,6138,2207,3931
5 row: ? 1.1.1964,5797,2692,3105
6 row: ?
1.1.1965,5385,3056,2329
7 row: ?
1.1.1966,5059,3465,1594
RESULT:
Time T o t a l Dis. Free
Proportion Indeterm.
Affected Proportion
1.1.1960 12154 1518 0.1249 0 10636
0.8751
1.1.1961 10625 1557 0.1465
0
9068 0.8535
1.1.1962 7191 1857
0.2582 0 5334
0.7418
1.1.1963 6138 2207
0.3596 0
3931 0.6404
1.1.1964 5797 2692
0.4644 0
3105 0.5356
1.1.1965 5385 3056 0.5675
0
2329 0.4325
1.1.1966 5059 3465 0.6849
0
1594 0.3151
3.10-TABLES OF ANIMAL
POPULATION, FARMS AND TERRITORY EPIZOOTIOLOGICAL STRUCTURES
This subprogramme facilitates the creation of tables according to space and
time with following structures: 3) total, free and affected farms
INPUT DATA
title ? FARM STRUCTURE ACCORDING
TO TUBERCULOSIS OF CATTLE
disease ? bovine tuberculosis species ? cattle
place, time ? Czech Republic,1963-1966
number of rows ? 4
data according to
subterritories (s) or time (t) ? t
Row names, values of individual columns following this sequence: Time, total farms, disease free farms,
affected farms
1 row: ?
1.1.1963,15785,6428,9357
2 row: ? 1.1.1964,16568,7957,8611
3 row: ?
1.1.1965,16192,6886,9306
4 row: ?
1.1.1966,15708,8439,7269
RESULT:
Time T o t a l Dis. Free Proportion
Indeterm. Affected Proportion
1.1.1963 15785 6428
0.4072
0 9357
0.5928
1.1.1964 16568 7957 0.4803
0 8611
0.5197
1.1.1965 16192 6886 0.4253
0
9306 0.5747
1.1.1966 15708 8439 0.5372
0 7269
0.4628
3.10-TABLES OF ANIMAL
POPULATION, FARMS AND TERRITORY EPI.STRUCTURES
This subprogramme facilitates the creation of tables according to space and
time with following structures: 4) total, free and affected territory
INPUT DATA
title ? TERRITORY STRUCTURE ACCORDING TO TICK-BORN
ENCEPHALITIS
disease ? viral tick-borne
encephalitis species
? small wild rhodents
place, time ? Province O.,2003
number of rows ? 5
data according to subterritories (s) or time (t) ? s
surface measure units ? km2
Row names, values of individual
columns following this sequence: Territory, total area, disease free area,
affected area
1 row: ? Region
G.,5400,3400,1500
2 row: ? Region D.,3200,1560,320
3 row: ? Region
L.,4890,3280,120
4 row: ? Region
F.,9800,5600,2800
5 row: ? Region
O.,4500,340,3200
RESULT:
Territory T o t a l Dis. Free
Proportion Indeterm. Affected
Proportion
Region G. 5400 3400
0.6296 500 1500
0.2778
Region D. 3200 1560 0.4875
1320
320 0.1000
Region L. 4890 3280
0.6708
1490
120 0.0245
Region F. 9800 5600
0.5714 1400 2800 0.2857
Region O. 4500 340 0.0756
960
3200 0.7111
T o t a l 27790
14180 0.5103
5670
7940
0.2857
3.11-TABLES OF DISEASE FOCI
AND INTRAFOCAL STRUCTURES
This subprogramme facilitates the creation of the tables according to space
and time, with following structure: 1) foci: total, with diseased animals
clinically, subclinically only,
in observation and
depopulated
INPUT DATA
title ? BOVINE BRUCELLOSIS FOCI STRUCTURE
disease ? brucellosis (B.abortus
Bang) species ? cattle
place, time ? Province T.31.12.1989
foci form/type ? all
data according to subterritories (s) or time (t) ? s
number of rows ? 5
Row names, values of individual
columns following this sequence: Territory, f o c i total, foci with animals diseased
clinically, diseased subclinically only,
depopulated foci
1 row: ? Region G.,23,12,11,0
2 row: ? Region F.,13,2,5,3
3 row: ? Region J.,34,14,13,2
4 row: ? Region K.,43,12,14,3
5
row: ? Region S-,4,2,1,0
RESULT:
Territory T o t a l With
Animals Diseased In Depopulated
-----------------------------------
Observation
Clinically Subclin. only
Region G. 23 12
11
0 0
Region F. 13 2
5
3 3
Region J. 34 14 13
5
2
Region K. 43 12
14
14
3
Region S- 4
2
1
1 0
T o t a l 117
42
44
23 8
P r o p o r t i o n s:
Territory T o t a l With
Animals Diseased In
Depopulated
--------------------------------- Observation
Clinically
Subclin. only
Region G. 1.0000 0.5217 0.4783 0.0000
0.0000
Region F. 1.0000 0.1538
0.3846 0.2308 0.2308
Region J. 1.0000
0.4118 0.3824
0.1471 0.0588
Region K. 1.0000
0.2791 0.3256
0.3256 0.0698
Region S- 1.0000 0.5000 0.2500 0.2500
0.0000
T o t a l 1.0000
0.3590 0.3761
0.1966
0.0684
3.11-TABLES OF DISEASE FOCI
AND INTRAFOCAL STRUCTURES
This subprogramme facilitates the creation of the tables according to space
and time, with following structure: 2) intrafocal animals: total, affected
clinically and subclinically,
indeterminate and disease
free
INPUT DATA
title ? INTRAFOCAL
EPIZOTIOLOGICAL STRUCTURE OF CACTLE IN IBR/IPV FOCI
disease ? IBR/IPV species ? cattle
place, time ? Region R.,1998
disease form/type ? all
data according to
subterritories (s) or time (t) ? t
number of rows ? 4
Row names, values of individual columns following this sequence: Time, intrafocal a n i m a l s
total, diseased clinically,
subclinically, disease free
1 row: ? I Q 1998,12890,789,8900,980
2 row: ? II Q 1998,10456,678,6532,1200
3 row: ? III Q 1998,9876,590,6200,800
4 row: ? IV Q 1990,9234,789,5900,1200
RESULT:
Time T o t a l D
i s e
a s e d Indetermi- Disease Free
Clinically Subclin. only nate
I Q 1998 12890 789 8900 2221 980
II Q 1998 10456 678 6532 2046
1200
III Q 1998 9876 590 6200 2286
800
IV Q 1990 9234 789 5900 1345
1200
P r o p o r t i o n s:
Time T o t a l D
i s e
a s e d Indetermi- Disease Free
Clinically Subclin. only nate
I Q 1998 1.0000 0.0612 0.6905 0.1723
0.0760
II Q 1998 1.0000
0.0648 0.6247 0.1957 0.1148
III Q 199 1.0000
0.0597 0.6278 0.2315 0.0810
IV Q 1990 1.0000 0.0854 0.6389 0.1457 0.1300
3.12-PROPORTIONS OF DISEASE
DIFFERENT FORMS/SYMPTOMS FINDINGS
INPUT DATA:
disease ? tuberculosis
(macroscopic findings in abattoirs)
species, category(ies) ?
cattle,all
place, time ?
Czechoslovakia,1962
investigations intravitam (i)
or postmortem (p) ? p
total number of
investigated d i s e a s e d animals
? 236667
List data :
1 finding name, number of cases ? pneumonal
tbc,225899
2 finding name, number of cases ? liver
tbc,53771
3 finding name, number of cases ? intestinal
tbc,66159
RESULT:
Finding Number of Total F i n d i n g s Total
Diseased Animals
Cases Proportion Percentage
Proportion Percentage
pneumonal tbc 225899 0.6532
65.3210
0.9545
95.4501
liver tbc 53771 0.1555 15.5484
0.2272 22.7201
intestinal tbc 66159
0.1913 19.1306 0.2795
27.9545
T o t a l 345829 1.0000
100.0000
3.12-PROPORTIONS OF DISEASE
DIFFERENT FORMS/SYMPTOMS FINDINGS
INPUT DATA:
disease ? foot-and-mouth
disease
species, category(ies) ?
cattle,all
place, time ? Czechoslovakia
(selected outbreaks),1957-1960
investigations intravitam (i) or postmortem (p) ? i
total number of
investigated d i s e a s e d animals
? 1403
List data:
1 form/symptom, number of cases ? anorexia,1401
2 form/symptom, number of cases ? fever,1058
3 form/symptom, number of cases ? mouth
changes,1336
4 form/symptom, number of cases ? muzzle
changes,642
5 form/symptom, number of cases ? udder
changes,253
6 form/symptom, number of cases ? foot
changes,175
7 form/symptom, number of cases ? other
symptoms,20
RESULT:
Form/symptom Number of Total F i n d i n g s Total Diseased Animals
Cases
Proportion Percentage Proportion
Percentage
anorexia 1401
0.2868
28.6796
0.9986
99.8574
fever 1058
0.2166 21.6581 0.7541
75.4098
mouth changes 1336
0.2735 27.3490
0.9522
95.2245
muzzle changes 642 0.1314
13.1423 0.4576
45.7591
udder changes 253 0.0518
5.1791 0.1803
18.0328
foot changes 175 0.0358 3.5824 0.1247
12.4733
other symptoms 20 0.0041
0.4094 0.0143
1.4255
T o t a l 4885 1.0000
100.0000
3.13-PROPORTIONS OF SPECIFIC
ETIOLOGICAL AGENTS/ANTIBODIES' FINDINGS
INPUT DATA:
etiological group ?
Salmonella sp.
species, category(ies) ?
domestic animals,all
place, time ? Czech
Republic,1986
etiological agents findings (e) or positive
serological findings (s) ? e
List name and numbers:
1 etiolology, investigations,
findings ? S. in cattle,27250,83
2 etiolology, investigations,
findings ? S. calves,25820,603
3 etiolology, investigations,
findings ? S. in pigs,74243,514
4 etiolology, investigations,
findings ? S. in sheep,755,2
5 etiolology, investigations,
findings ? S. in poultry,2213,18
RESULT:
N u m b e r o f
Total
F i n d i n g s'
Tests Findings % Proportion Percentage
S. in cattle 27250
83 0.3046
0.0680 6.8033
S. calves 25820
603 2.3354
0.4943 49.4262
S. in pigs 74243
514 0.6923 0.4213 42.1311
S. in sheep 755
2 0.2649 0.0016 0.1639
S. in poultry 2213
18 0.8134 0.0148 1.4754
T o t a l 130281
1220 1.0000 100.0000
3.13-PROPORTIONS OF SPECIFIC
ETIOLOGICAL AGENTS/ANTIBODIES' FINDINGS
INPUT DATA:
etiological group ?
infectious diseases
species, category(ies) ?
cattle,all
place, time ? Czech
Republic,2000
etiological agents findings
(e) or positive serological findings
(s) ? s
List names and numbers:
1 spec. dis. test,
investigations, findings ? brucellosis,363479,0
2 spec. dis. test,
investigations, findings ? paratuberculosis,5580,44
3 spec. dis. test, investigations,
findings ? IBR/IPV,124346,4002
4 spec. dis. test,
investigations, findings ? enz.leukosis,251647,0
RESULT:
N u m
b e r o f Total F
i n d i n g s'
Tests
Findings % Proportion Percentage
brucellosis 363479
0
0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
paratuberculosis 5580
44 0.7885 0.0109
1.0875
IBR/IPV 124346
4002 3.2184 0.9891
98.9125
enz.leukosis 251647
0
0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
T o t a l 747038
4046 1.0000 100.0000
4-SELECTED INDICATORS OF EPIZOOTIC
PROCESS DYNAMICS
=======================================================
1-Comparative indexes of population health
phenomena dynamics
2-Average of changing numbers of
diseased animals, foci etc.
3-Seasonality of population
health/disease phenomena
4-Selected tendency indicators of
morbidity and nidality
5-Relations between new cases and
space/time/diseased/foci
6-Population 'vertical movement' and
chronic disease process
7-Number of diseased animals according
to survival rates
8-Territorial propagation of
transmissible diseases
9-Development of disease frequency
with cyclic tendency
10-Development of disease with
ascending/descending tendency
11-Chronological time series of
population health phenomenon
4.1-COMPARATIVE INDEXES OF
POPULATION HEALTH PHENOMENA DYNAMICS
INPUT DATA:
phenomenon ? number of tuberculosis cattle
place, period ?
List time, phenomenon values:
1 : ? 1.1.1960,628276
2 : ? 1.1.1961,630838
3 : ? 1.1.1962,565659
4 : ? 1.1.1963,456569
5 : ? 1.1.1964,379757
6 : ? 1.1.1965,249284
7 : ? 1.1.1966,158267
8 : ? 1.1.1967,80009
RESULT:
Time Input Data Comparative I n d e x
Current Chain
1 1.1.1960 628276.00 100.0000 100.0000
2
1.1.1961 630838.00 100.4078 100.4078
3 1.1.1962 565659.00 90.0335 89.6679
4 1.1.1963 456569.00 72.6701 80.7145
5 1.1.1964 379757.00 60.4443 83.1763
6 1.1.1965 249284.00 39.6775 65.6430
7 1.1.1966 158267.00 25.1907 63.4886
8 1.1.1967 80009.00 12.7347 50.5532
4.2-AVERAGE OF CHANGING
NUMBERS OF DISEASED ANIMALS, FOCI AND
OTHER EPI. PHENOMENA
This subprogramme calculates
average of: 1) changing numbers of diseased animals
INPUT DATA:
disease(s) ? bovine
tuberculosis
species, category(ies) ?
cattle,cows
place ? Czech Republic
time (initial and final dates
of the period) ? 1.1.1960-1.1.1967
time measure units ? years
number of diseased animals
existing at the beginning of period ? 461345
number of diseased animals
existing at the end of the period ? 59071
total duration of the given
period in time measure units ? 8
subperiods' average duration
in time measure units ? 0.5
RESULT:
Absolute difference between
initial and final number of diseased animals = -402274
Average absolute value of the
change of number of diseased animals
during one subperiod = -25142
Average relative value of the
change of initial number of diseased animals during one subperiod =
- 6.25 %
4.2-AVERAGE OF CHANGING
NUMBERS OF DISEASED ANIMALS, FOCI AND
OTHER EPI. PHENOMENA
This subprogramme calculates
average of: 2) changing numbers of foci (outbreaks)
INPUT DATA:
foci ? bovine brucellosis
(incl.in observation)
place ? Czechoslovakia
time (initial and final dates
of the period) ? 1.1.1961-1.1.1965
time measure units ? years
number of foci (outbreaks)
existing at the beginning of the
period ? 1420
number of foci (outbreaks)
existing at the end of the period ? 266
total duration of the given
period in time measure units ? 4
subperiods' average duration
in time measure units ? 1
RESULT:
Absolute difference between
initial and final number of foci (outbreaks) = -1154
Average absolute value of the
change of number of foci (outbreaks)
during one subperiod = -288
Average relative value of the
change of initial number of foci
(outbreaks) during one subperiod
= - 25.00 %
4.2-AVERAGE OF CHANGING
NUMBERS OF DISEASED ANIMALS, FOCI AND
OTHER EPI. PHENOMENA
This subprogramme calculates
average of: 3) changing numbers of epi. phenomenon units
INPUT DATA:
epi. phenomenon ?
tuberculinizations of cattle
place ? Czechoslovakia
time (initial and final dates
of the period) ? 1959-1967
time measure units ? years
epi. phenomenon measure units
? individual applications
number of epi. phenomenon
measure units at the beginning of the
period ? 4972644
number of epi. phenomenon
measure units at the end of the
period ? 9739572
total duration of the given period in time
measure units ? 9
subperiods' average duration
in time measure units ? 1
RESULT:
Absolute difference between
initial and final number of epi.
phenomena
= 4766928
Average absolute value of the
change of number of epi. phenomena during one subperiod =
529659
Average relative value of the
change of initial number of epi. phenomena during one subperiod =
11.11 %
4.3.-SEASONALITY OF POPULATION
HEALTH/DISEASE PHENOMENA
This subprogramme calculates seasonality of: 1) disease(s)
INPUT DATA:
disease(s) ? trichophytosis
species, category(ies) ?
humans,all
place, period ?
Czechoslovakia,1962-1964
indicator measure units ?
sick persons
number of years ? 3
Absolute monthly values:
January ? 323,324,284
February ? 405,348,256
March ? 289,288,285
April ? 272,271,210
May ? 239,240,190
June ? 20,0,160
July ? 60,180,131
August ? 127,128,96
September ? 101,111,0
October ? 103,150,148
November ? 79,117,0
December ? 174,229
RESULT:
Total Number %
Monthly Average Season Index
January 931.00 14.6892 310.33 176.2701 %
February 1009.00 15.9198 336.33 191.0382 %
March 862.00 13.6005 287.33 163.2061 %
April 753.00
11.8807
251.00 142.5686 %
May 669.00
10.5554
223.00 126.6646 %
June 180.00
2.8400
60.00 34.0802 %
July 371.00
5.8536 123.67 70.2430 %
August 351.00
5.5380 117.00 66.4563 %
September 212.00
3.3449 70.67 40.1388 %
October 401.00 6.3269 133.67 75.9230 %
November 196.00
3.0925 65.33 37.1095 %
December 403.00
6.3585 134.33 76.3017
%
T o t a l
6338.00 100.0000
176.06
4.3-SEASONALITY OF POPULATION
HEALTH/DISEASE PHENOMENA
This subprogramme calculates seasonality of: 2) other phenomenon (outbreaks, vaccination, costs, losses, etc.)
INPUT DATA:
epi. phenomenon ? positive larvoscopic test
for Dictyocaulus filariain lambs
place, period ? Košice,1957
indicator measure units ?
positive tests
number of years ? 1
Absolute monthly values
January ? 18
February ? 8
March ? 38
April ? 31
May ? 0
June ? 10
July ? 21
August ? 11
September ? 26
October ? 0
November ? 0
December ? 0
RESULT:
Total
Number % Monthly Average Season Index
January 18.00 11.0429 18.00 132.5153
%
February 8.00 4.9080 8.00 58.8957 %
March 38.00 23.3129 38.00 279.7546
%
April 31.00
19.0184 31.00 228.2209
%
May 0.00
0.0000 0.00 0.0000
%
June 10.00
6.1350
10.00 73.6196
%
July 21.00
12.8834 21.00 154.6012 %
August 11.00
6.7485 11.00 80.9816
%
September 26.00
15.9509 26.00 191.4110
%
October 0.00
0.0000 0.00 0.0000 %
November 0.00
0.0000 0.00 0.0000
%
December 0.00
0.0000 0.00 0.0000
%
T o t a l 163.00 100.0000 13.58
4.4-SELECTED TENDENCY
INDICATORS OF MORBIDITY AND NIDALITY
This subprogramme calculates
tendency indicators of: 1) animal disease morbidity
INPUT DATA:
disease(s) ? bovine
tuberculosis
species, category(ies) ?
cattle,all
place, period ?
number of diseased animals at
the beginning of the period ? 476759
number of diseased
animals existing in the period ? 560944
average number of diseased
animals existing in the period ? 406864
number of new diseased
animals in the period ?
84185
number of extinct diseased
animals
(dead+slaughtered+removed+recovered) in the period ? 223974
RESULT:
Difference between new and
extinct diseased animals =
-139789
Ratio of new/extinct diseased
animals = 0.3759
Ratio of extinct/new diseased
animals = 2.6605
Index of morbidity stability
tendency to initial number = 0.8234
Index of morbidity stability
tendency to existing number = 0.8499
Index of morbidity stability
tendency to average number = 0.7931
Index of morbidity reduction
tendency to initial number = 0.2932
Index of morbidity reduction
tendency to existing number = 0.2492
Index of morbidity reduction
tendency to average number = 0.3436
Index of morbidity increasing
tendency to initial number = -0.2932
Index of morbidity increasing
tendency to existing number = -0.2492
Index of morbidity increasing
tendency to average number =
-0.3436
4.4-SELECTED TENDENCY
INDICATORS OF MORBIDITY AND NIDALITY
This subprogramme calculates
tendency indicators of: 2) animal disease nidality
INPUT DATA:
disease(s) ? bovine
brucellosis
species, category(ies) ?
cattle,all
place, period ?
Czechoslovakia,1960
number of foci (outbreaks) at the beginning of the period ? 769
number of foci (outbreaks) existing in the period ? 827
average number of foci
(outbreaks) existing in the period
? 742
number of new foci
(outbreaks) in the period ? 58
number of extinct foci
(outbreaks) in the period ? 112
RESULT:
Difference between new and
extinct outbreaks = -54
Ratio of new/extinct
outbreaks
= 0.5179
Ratio of extinct/new
outbreaks
= 1.9310
Index of nidality stability
tendency to initial number = 0.9246
Index of nidality stability
tendency to existing number = 0.9299
Index of nidality stability
tendency to average number = 0.9218
Index of nidality reduction
tendency to initial number = 0.0702
Index of nidality reduction
tendency to existing number = 0.0653
Index of nidality reduction
tendency to average number = 0.0728
Index of nidality increasing
tendency to initial number = -0.0702
Index of nidality increasing
tendency to existing number = -0.0653
Index of nidality increasing
tendency to average number = -0.0728
4.5-RELATIONS BETWEEN NEW
CASES AND SPACE/TIME/DISEASED/FOCI
This subprogramme calculates
following indicators of diseases spreading:
1) ratios of disease new
cases/space units
INPUT DATA:
disease(s) ? bovine
tuberculosis
species, category(ies) ?
cattle,all
place, period ? Czech
Republic,1960
definition of new cases ?
animals with positive tbc test
number of disease new
cases ? 191842
space measure unit ? km2
number of space measure units
of the territory ? 78864
RESULT:
Ratio of disease new cases per
one space unit = 2.4326 / km2
Ratio of territory per one new
case of disease = 0.4111 km2
: 1
4.5-RELATIONS BETWEEN NEW
CASES AND SPACE/TIME/DISEASED/FOCI
This subprogramme calculates
following indicators of diseases spreading:
2) ratios of disease new
cases/time units (disease frequency)
INPUT DATA:
disease(s) ? bovine
tuberculosis
species, category(ies) ?
cattle,all
place, period ? Czech
Republic,1960
definition of new cases ?
animals with positive tbc test
number of disease new
cases ? 191842
time measure unit (up to 5
characters !) ? day
number of time measure units
of the period ? 365
RESULT:
Ratio of disease new cases per
one time unit = 525.5945 / day
Ratio of time period per one
new case of disease = 0.0019
day : 1
4.5-RELATIONS BETWEEN NEW
CASES AND SPACE/TIME/DISEASED/FOCI
This subprogramme calculates following
indicators of diseases spreading: 3) ratios of disease new cases/total diseased
animals
INPUT DATA:
disease(s) ? bovine
tuberculosis
species, category(ies) ?
cattle,all
place, period ? Czech Republic,1960
definition of new cases ?
animals with positive tbc test
number of disease new
cases ? 191842
total number of diseased
animals at the beginning of the
period ? 628276
total number of diseased
animals existing in the period ? 820118
total average number of
diseased animals existing in the
period ? 629557
RESULT:
Ratio of disease new cases
per one diseased animal existing at the
beginning of the period = 0.3053
Ratio of diseased animals
existing at the beginning of the period
per one new case of disease = 3.2750
Ratio of disease new cases
per one diseased animals existing in
the period = 0.2339
Ratio of diseased animals
existing in the period per one new case
of disease = 4.2750
Ratio of disease new cases
per one diseased animal of average
number in the period = 0.3047
Ratio of diseased animals'
average number existing in the period
per one new case of disease = 3.2816
4.5-RELATIONS BETWEEN NEW
CASES AND SPACE/TIME/DISEASED/FOCI
This subprogramme calculates
following indicators of diseases spreading:
4) ratios of new/total foci
NPUT DATA:
disease(s) ? bovine brucellosis
species, category(ies) ?
cattle,all
place, period ? Czech
Republic,1961
definition of new foci ?
ranches with brucellosis animals
number of new foci ? 41
total number of foci
existing at the beginning of the
period ? 518
total number of foci existing
in the period ? 559
total average number of foci
existing in the period ? 473
RESULT:
Ratio of new foci per one
focus existing at the beginning of the period =
0.0792
Ratio of foci existing at the
beginning of the period per one new
focus = 12.6341
Ratio of new foci per one
focus existing in the period =
0.0733
Ratio of foci existing in the
period per one new focus = 13.6341
Ratio of new foci per one
focus of average existing in the
period = 0.0867
Ratio of average number of
foci existing in the period per one new focus =
11.5366
4.6-POPULATION 'VERTICAL
MOVEMENT' AND CHRONIC DISEASE EPIZOOTIC PROCESS
This subprogramme
calculates: 1) combination of existing, new and extinct diseased animals
INPUT DATA
disease(s) ? bovine
brucellosis
species, category(ies) ?
cattle,all
place, period ? Czech
Republic,1962
Question about indicator to be calculated l e a v e
w i t h o u t a n y a n s w e r, however the other three data
must be given !
number of diseased animals
existing at the beginning ? 36656
number of new diseased
animals (newly diseased+new born diseased+introduced) ? 519
number of extinct diseased
animals
(dead+slaughtered+removed+recovered) ?
number of diseased animals
existing at the end of the period ? 25288
RESULT:
Number of extinct diseased
animals in the period =
11887
Number of diseased animals
existing in the period = 37175
4.6-POPULATION 'VERTICAL
MOVEMENT' AND CHRONIC DISEASE EPIZOOTIC PROCESS
This subprogramme
calculates: 2) diseased animals' replacement rates
INPUT DATA
disease(s) ? bovine
brucellosis
species, category(ies) ?
cattle,all
place, period ? Czech
Republic,1961
number of new diseased
animals (newly diseased+new born
diseased+introduced) ? 1797
total number of diseased
animals existing at the beginning of the
period ? 33211
total number of diseased
animals existing in the period ?
35008
average number of diseased
animals existing in the period ?
34933
duration (in days) of one
population reproduction cycle ?
1800
RESULT:
Diseased animals' replacement
rate to initial number = 0.0541
Diseased animals' replacement
rate to existing number = 0.0513
Diseased animals' replacement
rate to average number = 0.0514
Ratio year/population
reproduction cycle = 0.2028
Number of years of population
reproduction cycle = 4.9315
4.6-POPULATION 'VERTICAL
MOVEMENT' AND CHRONIC DISEASE EPIZOOTIC PROCESS
This subprogramme
calculates: 3) estimate of remaining diseased animals within one generation cycle
INPUT DATA
disease(s) ? bovine
tuberculosis
species, category(ies) ?
cattle,all
place, period ? Czech
Republic,1961
total number of diseased
animals at the beginning of the period ? 450898
duration (in days) of one
regular generation
(replacement/reproduction) cycle
? 1825
duration (in days) between the
initial and evaluated days w i t h i n
the generation cycle ? 365
RESULT:
Estimated number of diseased
animals existing at the beginning and
still remaining */ at the evaluated day
= 360718
*/ Note: If not eliminated
prematurely and in the absence of migration.
4.6-POPULATION 'VERTICAL
MOVEMENT' AND CHRONIC DISEASE EPIZOOTIC PROCESS
This subprogramme
calculates: 4) estimate of remaining diseased animals
within one regular continuing production/breeding cycle
INPUT DATA
disease(s) ? chronic
respiratory disease
species, category(ies) ?
pigs,sows
place, period ? Ranch B.,2003
total number of diseased
animals at the beginning of the period ?
1510
duration (in days) of one
regular continuing production/breeding
replacement cycle ? 455
duration (in days) between the
initial and evaluated days w i t h i
n the production/breeding cycle ? 180
RESULT:
Estimated number of diseased
animals existing at the beginning and
still remaining */ at the evaluated day
= 913
*/ Note: If not eliminated
prematurely and in absence of migration.
4.7-NUMBER OF DISEASED ANIMALS
ACCORDING TO SURVIVAL RATES
INPUT DATA:
disease(s) ? enzootic
leukosis
species, category(ies) ?
cattle,females born in 1981
place, period ? Province
Y.,1981-1985
total number of diseased
animals at the beginning ? 1250
List data:
names of subperiods, coefficients of diseased animals survival
probability :
1 : ? < 1 year,0.9
2 : ? 1-2 year,0.93
3 : ? 2-3 years,0.95
4 :
? 3-4 years,0.95
5 : ? 4-5 years,0.96
RESULT:
Age Survival
Mortality Cumulative Surviving
Subperiod Rate
Rate Survival Dis.Animals
Rate
at the End
1 < 1 year
0.9000
0.1000 0.9000 1125
2 1-2 year
0.9300 0.0700 0.8370 1046
3 2-3 years
0.9500 0.0500 0.7951 994
4 3-4 years
0.9500 0.0500 0.7554 944
5 4-5 years
0.9600 0.0400 0.7252 906
From the initial number of 1250
diseased animals after 5 age
subperiods it can be estimated
about 906 surviving diseased animals (if
not removed prematurely).
4.8-SELECTED INDICATORS OF
DISEASE TERRITORIAL PROPAGATION
This subprogramme
calculates: 1) combination of velocity, distance and time
INPUT DATA:
disease(s) ? foot-and-mouth
disease species ? antelopes
place, period ?
China-Mongolia borders zones,IX/1963-VI/1964
territorial surface measure
units ? km2 length measure units ? km time measure units ? days
Do not answer (skip) the question about the indicator to be calculated
! Other two questions must be answered
!
velocity of disease
propagation per one time measure unit ?
distance of disease
propagation in length measure units ?
376
time of disease propagation
in time measure units ? 270
Additional input data:
average density of animals
per one surface unit ? 0.9
estimated excision angle
grade (1 - 360) of theoretical circular
propagation ? 90
RESULT:
Estimated velocity of disease
propagation per one time measure
unit = 1.39 km
Estimated affected zone (if the propagation follows circular
excision) = 111188 km2
Estimated number of animals in
affected zone =
99932
4.8-SELECTED INDICATORS OF
DISEASE TERRITORIAL PROPAGATION
This subprogramme
calculates: 2) relations of newly to total affected territory
INPUT DATA:
disease(s) ? foot-and-mouth
disease species ? ruminants+pigs
place, period ? County N.,1998
territorial surface measure
units ? km2
new affected territory in
surface units ? 345
affected territory at the
beginning of the period in surface
units ? 456
affected territory existing
in the period in surface units ? 678
affected territory average
existing in the period in surface
units ? 540
RESULT:
Ratio of new affected
territory per one surface unit of
initially affected territory = 0.7566
Ratio of initially affected territory per
one surface unit of new affected territory
= 1.3217
Ratio of new affected
territory per one surface unit of affected territory existing in the
period = 0.5088
Ratio of affected territory
existing in the period per one surface
unit of new affected territory = 1.9652
Ratio of new affected
territory per one surface unit of affected territory average in the period =
0.6389
Ratio of affected territory
average in the period per one surface
unit of new affected territory = 1.5652
4.9-DEVELOPMENT OF DISEASE
FREQUENCY WITH CYCLIC TENDENCY
(sinusoid curve formula adapted by the author)
INPUT DATA:
disease(s) ? rabies species, category(ies) ? fox,all
place, period ? County
S.,1990-1996
time measure unit ? semesters
supposed amplitude -
difference between maximal and minimal
numbers of diseased animals ? 270
minimal number of diseased
animals (curve bottom) ? 55
duration between two peaks of
the curve (in time units) ? 6
initial value of time (in
time measure units) when the number of
diseased animals is in the curve middle
i.e. in the middle between maximal and minimal numbers ? 0
total period duration in time
measure units ? 14
RESULT:
Time-end of Estimated number
semesters of diseased animals
0 190
1 306
2 306
3 190
4 73
5 73
6 189
7 306
8 306
9 190
10 73
11 73
12 189
13 306
14 306
4.10-DEVELOPMENT OF DISEASE
FREQUENCY WITH ASCENDING/DESCENDING TENDENCY
(part of sinusoid curve formula adapted by the author)
INPUT DATA:
disease(s) ? African swine
fever species, category(ies) ? swine,all
place, period ? Province
U.(newly introduced),May 1965
time measure units ? days
supposed amplitude -
difference between maximal and minimal
numbers of diseased animals ?
25000
duration between max/min
numbers in time units ? 16
evaluated period duration in
time measure units ? 16
Is the curve of diseased animals numbers ascending (a) or descending (d)
? a
minimal number of diseased
animals at the b e g i n n i n g ? 550
RESULT:
Time-end of Estimated number
days of diseased animals
(start) 550
1 790
2 1501
3 2656
4 4211
5 6105
6 8266
7 10611
8 13050
9 15488
10 17833
11 19994
12 21888
13 23443
14 24598
15 25309
16 25549
4.10-DEVELOPMENT OF DISEASE
FREQUENCY WITH ASCENDING/DESCENDING TENDENCY
(part of sinusoid curve formula adapted by the author)
INPUT DATA:
disease(s) ? bovine
tuberculosis species, category(ies) ? cattle,all
place, period ? Czech
Republic,1959-1968
time measure units ? years
supposed amplitude -
difference between maximal and minimal
numbers of diseased animals ?
628276
duration between max/min
numbers in time units ? 10
evaluated period duration in
time measure units ? 10
Is the curve of diseased animals numbers ascending (a) or descending (d) ? d
minimal number of diseased
animals at the period e n d ? 0
RESULT:
Time-end of Estimated number
years of diseased animals
(start) 628276
1 612901
2 568281
3 498784
4 411212
5 314138
6 217064
7 129493
8 59995
9 15375
10 0
4.11-CHRONOLOGICAL TIME SERIES
OF POPULATION HEALTH PHENOMENON
INPUT DATA:
variable (indicator), period
? tbc cattle in Czechoslovakia,1960-1969
List subperiods or moments in chronological order, variable values:
1 ? 1.1.1960,859557
2 ? 1.1.1961,893793
3 ? 1.1.1962,795975
4 ? 1.1.1963,639171
5 ? 1.1.1964,476759
6 ? 1.1.1965,336970
7 ? 1.1.1966,206567
8 ? 1.1.1967,99348
9 ? 1.1.1968,19477
10 ? 1.1.1969,0
RESULT:
Order Subperiod/ Variable I
n d e
x
Number Moment Value Current Chained
1 1.1.1960 859557.00 100.00 100.00
2 1.1.1961 893793.00 103.98 103.98
3 1.1.1962 795975.00 92.60 89.06
4 1.1.1963 639171.00 74.36 80.30
5 1.1.1964 476759.00 55.47 74.59
6 1.1.1965 336970.00 39.20 70.68
7 1.1.1966 206567.00 24.03 61.30
8 1.1.1967 99348.00 11.56 48.09
9 1.1.1968 19477.00 2.27
19.60
10 1.1.1969 0.00 0.00
0.00
Estimated linear trend (least
square line): Y =
432761.69 -113799.77 X
5-SELECTED INDICATORS OF ANIMAL DISEASE
RISK ASSESSMENT
==========================================================
1-General indicators of animal disease risk
2-Risk probability assessment of animal
disease introduction I.
3-Risk probability assessment of animal
disease introduction II.
4-Risk comparison of a disease
introduction from several territories
5-Risk comparison of several diseases
introduction from one territory
6-Animal population movement as
potential risk of disease propagation
7-Animal products transfer as potential
risk of disease propagation
8-Concentration of animals as potential
risk of disease propagation
9-Risk probability assessment of animal
disease propagation
10-Per capita food consumption as
potential risk of food-born diseases
(Note: See also module 11 of the Main Menu
!)
5.1-GENERAL INDICATORS OF
ANIMAL DISEASE RISK (Ref.:Jenicek;
Martin; Toma)
INPUT DATA:
risk (disease) ? hog cholera place ? Region N. time ? 31 May 2004
species ? pigs category(ies) ? all
Are you going to input relative (r) or absolute (a) data ? r
incidence rate (major) among
animals e x p o s e d to disease risk ? 0.1333
incidence rate (minor) among
animals n o n-e x p o s e d to disease risk ? 0.05
RESULT:
Grade of relative risk (risk ratio) =
2.6660
Grade of attributable
(differential) risk = 0.0833
Fraction of attributable
risk = 0.6249
Percentage of attributable
risk = 62.4906 %
Grade of risk superiority (risk odds ratio, risk coefficient) =
2.9222
5.1-GENERAL INDICATORS OF
ANIMAL DISEASE RISK (Ref.:Jenicek;
Martin; Toma)
INPUT DATA:
risk (disease) ? rabies in
unvaccinated animals
place ? Province C. time ? 2001
species ? fox category(ies) ? all
Are you going to input
relative (r) or absolute (a) data ?
a
number of diseased among
animals exposed to the risk ? 34
number of healthy among
animals exposed to the risk ?
456
number of diseased among
animals non-exposed to the risk ? 8
number of healthy among
animals non-exposed to the risk ?
6080
RESULT:
Grade of relative risk (risk
ratio) = 52.8041
Grade of attributable
(differential) risk = 0.0681
Fraction of attributable
risk = 0.9811
Percentage of attributable risk = 98.1062 %
Grade of risk superiority (risk odds ratio, risk coefficient) =
56.6667
Grade of individual risk of
exposed animals = 0.0694
Grade of individual risk of
non-exposed animals = 0.0013
5.2-RISK PROBABILITY
ASSESSMENT OF ANIMAL DISEASE AGENTS INTRODUCTION I.
This subprogramme calculates a
rough probability of potential risk of
specific animal disease agents to be introduced into a territory
(country, province, region, ranch,
etc.) from abroad. Selected simple criteria
of i n a b i l i t y - failure
grades (scale between >0 and 1) are used.
The input and result interpretation to be based upon theoretical
knowledge and practical experience and
must be epizootiologically meaningful.
Note: Diseased animals = affected clinically, subclinically and
carriers of specific etiological
agents. Animal products = not sterilized raw animal products.
INPUT DATA:
specific disease ?
brucellosis
commodity to be imported - animals (a) or animal products (p) ?
a
species/category ?
cattle,heifers
number of animals to be
imported ? 1250
name of importing
unit/territory ? A name of exporting unit/territory ? B
time - period ? May 2004
Situation in the
territory/population/unit of origin:
specific disease prevalence rate - true or estimated (>0 - 1) ? 0.1
estimated grade of i n a b i l i
t y (failure) to d i s c o v e r a l l specifically
i n f e c t e d animals and h
e r d s (outbreaks) considering: sensitivity/specificity of diagnostic methods used, population investigation grade,
field and laboratory services capabilities, active field surveys,
reporting/information systems, etc..
? 0.4
estimated grade of i n a b i l i t
y (failure) to a v
o i d specific disease propagation (n e
w f o c i - focal incidence) due to the lack of
effective foci isolation and control
and field prevention measures during previous critical period ? 0.5
estimated grade of i n a b i l i
t y (failure) to a
v o i d d i s e a s e d (infected) animals to be e x p o r t e d (considering: pre-export animal selection,
testing, treatment and control measures, reliability of certificates,
eventual p r e v i o u s c a s e s of exporting diseased animals or
their products, etc.) ? 0.2
RESULT:
Risk probability grade of disease introduction =
0.00400000 +- 0.00349914
Estimated number of
infected animals to be probably
introduced is about 5
5.2-RISK PROBABILITY
ASSESSMENT OF ANIMAL DISEASE AGENTS INTRODUCTION I.
This subprogramme calculates a
rough probability of potential risk of specific animal disease agents to be
introduced into a territory (country, province, region, ranch, etc.) from abroad.
Selected simple criteria of i n a b i l i t y - failure grades (scale
between >0 and 1) are used. The input
and result interpretation to be based upon theoretical knowledge and practical experience and must be
epizootiologically meaningful.
Note: Diseased animals =
affected clinically, subclinically and carriers of specific etiological agents.
Animal products = not sterilized raw animal products.
INPUT DATA:
specific disease ? hog
cholera
commodity to be imported -
animals (a) or animal products (p) ?
p
type of animal product ? meat measure units ? MT
quantity of product to be
imported ? 34000
name of importing
unit/territory ? Country A
name of exporting unit/territory ? Country
B
time - period ? 2003
Situation in the
territory/population/unit of origin:
specific disease prevalence rate - true or estimated (>0 - 1) ? 0.05
estimated grade of i n a b i l i
t y (failure) to d i s c o v e r a l l : specifically i n f e c t ed animals,
h e r d s (outbreaks) and particular products containing specific
disease etiological a g e n t s (considering: sensitivity/specificity of
diagnostic methods used, grade of population/product investigation, field and
laboratory services capabilities, reporting/information systems, etc.) ? 0.8
estimated grade of i n a b i l i
t y (failure) to a v o i d
the contamination of pathogen-free products by specific pathogens during
processing, storing and transport ? 0.7 estimated grade of i n a b i l i t y (failure) to
a v o i d specific etiological
agents to be exported by the particular commodity (considering: pre-export
product selection, testing, treatment and
protection measures, reliability of certificates, eventual p r e v i o u s c a s e s
of 'exporting' disease(s), etc.)
? 0.6
RESULT:
Risk probability grade of disease introduction =
0.01680000 +- 0.00136613
Estimated quantity of
infected or contaminated products to be
probably introduced is about 571 MT
5.3-RISK PROBABILITY
ASSESSMENT OF ANIMAL DISEASE AGENTS INTRODUCTION II.
This subprogramme calculates a
rough probability of potential risk of
specific animal disease agents to be introduced into a territory
(country, province, region, ranch,
etc.) from abroad. Selected simple criteria of a b
i l i t y grades (scale between >0
and 1) are used. The input and result
interpretation to be based upon theoretical knowledge
and practical experience and
must be epizootiologically meaningful.
Note: Diseased animals =
affected clinically, subclinically and carriers
of specific etiological agents. Animal products = not sterilized raw animal products.
INPUT DATA:
specific disease ?
foot-and-mouth disease
commodity to be imported - animals (a) or animal products (p) ? a
species (category) ? cattle
number of animals to be
imported ? 2350
name of importing
unit/territory ? Province D.
name of exporting
unit/territory ? Province N.
specific disease prevalence rate - true or estimated (>0 - 1) ? 0.05
estimated grade of a b i l i t
y to
d i s c o v e r a l l specifically i n f e c t e d animals and
h e r d s (outbreaks) considering: sensitivity/specificity of diagnostic
methods used,
population investigation grade, field and laboratory services capabilities,
active field surveys, reporting/information systems, etc..
? 0.6
estimated grade of a b i l i t
y to
a v o i d specific disease propagation
(avoiding n e w f o c i
- focal incidence) thanks to preventive/control field measures during
previous critical period ? 0.4
estimated grade of a b i l i t
y to
a v o i d d i s e a s e d animal(s) to be e x p o r t e d (considering: pre-export animal selection,
testing, treatment and control measures, reliability of certificates,
eventual p r e v i o u s c a s e s
of exporting infected animal(s) or product(s), etc.) ? 0.7
RESULT:
Risk probability grade of disease introduction =
0.00360000 +- 0.00242153
Estimated number of
infected animals to be probably
introduced is about 8
5.3-RISK PROBABILITY
ASSESSMENT OF ANIMAL DISEASE AGENTS INTRODUCTION II.
This subprogramme calculates a
rough probability of potential risk of specific animal disease agents to be
introduced into a territory (country, province, region, ranch, etc.) from abroad.
Selected simple criteria of a b i l i t y
grades (scale between >0 and 1) are used. The input and result interpretation to be
based upon theoretical knowledge
and practical experience and
must be epizootiologically meaningful.
Note: Diseased animals =
affected clinically, subclinically and carriers of specific etiological agents. Animal
products = not sterilized raw animal
products.
INPUT DATA:
specific disease ?
foot-and-mouth disease
commodity to be imported -
animals (a) or animal products (p) ?
p
type of animal product ? meat measure units ? MT
quantity of product to be
imported ? 15000
name of importing
unit/territory ? Country F.
name of exporting unit/territory ? Country G.
specific disease prevalence rate - true or estimated (>0 - 1) ? 0.04
estimated grade of a b i l i t
y to
d i s c o v e r a l l : specifically i n f e c t e d animals,
h e r d s (outbreaks) and animal products
containing specific disease etiological
a g e n t s (considering:
sensitivity/specificity of diagnostic methods used, grade of population/product
investigation, field and laboratory services capabilities,
reporting/information systems, etc.)
? 0.5
estimated grade of a b i l i t
y to
a v o i d contamination of
pathogen-free products by specific pathogens during processing, storing and
transport ? 0.4
estimated grade of a b i l i t
y to
a v o i d specific etiological
agents to be exported by the particular commodity (considering: pre-export
product selection, testing, treatment,
and protection measures, reliability of certificates, eventual p r e v i
o u s c a s e s of 'exporting' the disease, etc.) ? 0.7
RESULT:
Risk probability grade of disease introduction =
0.00360000 +- 0.00095847
Estimated quantity of
affected products to be probably
introduced is about 54 MT
5.4-RISK COMPARISON OF DISEASE
AGENTS INTRODUCTION FROM SEVERAL TERRITORIES
This subprogramme compares relative risks of specific disease agents to
be introduced by import from territories
n o t f r e e of the disease.
Criteria on disease and
exporting territories situation:
a) grade of disease transmissibility - ability to be propagated
b) grade of disease occurrence - considering prevalence, incidence and
spread
c) grade of i n a b i l i t
y to
d i s c o v e r all infected
animals and herds (due to insufficient:
sensitivity of diagnostic methods used, animal population investigation grade, field
and laboratory services capabilities,
active field surveys, reporting/information systems, etc.)
d) grade of i n a b i l i t
y to
a v o i d disease propagation (new
foci) i.e. inability to protect
specific disease free animals, herds and territory (due to the lack of or insufficient
preventive and control field measures)
e) grade of i n a b i l i t
y to
r e d u c e disease o c c u r r e n c e (due
to the lack or insufficient: reduction, elimination and/or eradication field measures, sanitation actions, field
and laboratory services, etc.)
f) grade of i n e f f e c t i v e
n e s s of pre-export
'f i l t e r' (due to lack or insufficient: pre-export
selection, treatment, investigations
and control measures, reliability of veterinary services and their certificates), considering also
eventual p r e v i o u s c a s e s
of 'exporting' infected animals
or infected/contaminated commodities, etc.
INPUT DATA:
disease ? foot-and-mouth
disease
importing territory, time ?
Country C.,May 2001
commodity ? beef
Key estimated criteria values on the disease and exporting territories using the
s c a l e of the g r a d e s
from 0 to 10 :
Territory No. 1 : name: ? Country A.
grade of the disease
transmissibility
? 10
grade of the disease
occurrence
? 5
grade of inability to discover
all disease cases/outbreaks ? 3
grade of inability to avoid new
foci ? 5
grade of inability to reduce
the disease at the territory level ? 4
grade of ineffectiveness of
pre-export 'filter' ? 3
Territory No. 2 : name : ?
Country Z.
grade of the disease
transmissibility
? 10
grade of the disease
occurrence
? 1
grade of inability to discover
all disease cases/outbreaks ? 3
grade of inability to avoid new
foci ? 4
grade of inability to reduce
the disease at the territory level ? 2
grade of ineffectiveness of
pre-export 'filter' ? 1
The values of importance
multiplier coefficients are fixed (default)
as follows:
a) disease
transmissibility
= 5
b) disease
occurrence
= 25
c) inability to
discover all disease cases/outbreaks = 8
d) inability to avoid
new foci of the disease = 5
e) inability to reduce
occurrence of the disease = 3
f) ineffectiveness of
pre-export 'filter' = 10
Do you accept this
coefficients (y) or you will fixe others
(o) ? o Define other values of importance
multiplier coefficients :
a) disease
transmissibility
? 10
b) disease
occurrence
? 30
c) inability to
discover all disease cases/outbreaks ?
15
d) inability to avoid
new foci of the disease ? 20
e) inability to reduce
occurrence of the disease ? 5
f) ineffectiveness of
pre-export 'filter' ? 10
RESULT:
Exporting Grade of Disease Grade of
I n a b i l i t y to
Territory ----------------------- ------------------------------------------ T O T
A L
(with disease trans- occur- disco- avoid
reduce avoid
occurrence) missi- rence ver
new occur-
agents r i s k
bility
disease
foci rence
'export' points
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Multiplier * 10
* 30 * 15 *
20 *
5 * 10
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Country A. 10 5 3 5 4 3 445
Country Z. 10 1
3 4
2 1 275
Territory Proportion Percentage
of the total 720 allocated risk points
Country A. 0.6181 61.8056
Country Z. 0.3819 38.1944
T o t a l 1.0000 100.0000
5.5-RISK COMPARISON OF SEVERAL
DISEASES AGENTS INTRODUCTION FROM ONE TERRITORY
This subprogramme compares relative risks of specific diseases agents to
be introduced by import from one territory
n o t f r e e of these diseases.
Criteria on diseases and
exporting territory situation:
a) grade of disease transmissibility - ability to be propagated
b) grade of disease occurrence - considering prevalence, incidence and
spread
c) grade of i n a b i l i t
y to
d i s c o v e r all infected
animals and herds (due to insufficient:
sensitivity of diagnostic methods used, animal population investigation grade, field
and laboratory services capabilities,
active field surveys, reporting/information systems, etc.)
d) grade of i n a b i l i t
y to
a v o i d disease propagation (new
foci), i.e. inability to protect
specific disease free animals, herds and territory (due to the lack of or insufficient
preventive and control field measures)
e) grade of i n a b i l i t
y to
r e d u c e disease o c c u r r e n c e (due to the lack or insufficient: reduction,
elimination and/or eradication measures, sanitation actions, field and
laboratory services, etc.)
f) grade of i n e f f e c t i v e
n e s s of pre-export 'f i l t e r' (due to lack or insufficient: pre-export selection,
treatment, investigations and control
measures, reliability of veterinary services and their certificates), considering also
eventual p r e v i o u s c a s e s
of 'exporting' infected animals or infected/contaminated commodities,
etc.
INPUT DATA:
exporting territory ? Country
U.
importing territory, time ?
Country C.,May 2004
commodity ? pregnant heifers
Key estimated criteria values on the diseases and exporting territory using the
s c a l e of the g r a d e s
from 0 to 10 :
Disease No. 1 : name : ? bov.tuberculosis
grade of the disease
transmissibility
? 5
grade of the disease
occurrence
? 2
grade of inability to discover all disease cases/outbreaks ? 6
grade of inability to avoid new
foci ? 5
grade of inability to reduce
the disease at the territory level ? 3
grade of ineffectiveness of
pre-export 'filter' ? 2
Disease No. 2 : name : ? bov.brucellosis
grade of the disease
transmissibility
? 6
grade of the disease
occurrence ? 0.5
grade of inability to discover
all disease cases/outbreaks ? 2
grade of inability to avoid new
foci ? 1
grade of inability to reduce
the disease at the territory level ? 5
grade of ineffectiveness of
pre-export 'filter' ? 1
The values of importance
multiplier coefficients are fixed
(default) as follows:
a) disease
transmissibility
= 5
b) disease
occurrence
= 25
c) inability to
discover all disease cases/outbreaks = 8
d) inability to avoid
new foci of the disease = 5
e) inability to reduce
occurrence of the disease = 3
f) ineffectiveness of
pre-export 'filter' = 10
Do you accept this
coefficients (y) or you will fix others
(o) ? o
Define other values of
importance multiplier coefficients (integers !):
a) disease
transmissibility
? 10
b) disease
occurrence
? 30
c) inability to
discover all disease cases/outbreaks ? 40
d) inability to avoid
new foci of the disease ? 20
e) inability to reduce
occurrence of the disease ? 5
f) ineffectiveness of
pre-export 'filter' ? 10
RESULT:
Grade
of Grade of
i n a b i l i t y to
------------------- ------------------------------------------ T O T A L
D i s e a s e trans- occur-
disco- avoid
reduce avoid
missi- rence
ver new
occur- agents
r i s k
bility disease foci rence
'export' points
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Multiplier * 10 * 30 * 40 *
20 *
5 * 10
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
bov.tbc 5 2
6 5 3
2 485
bov.brucellosis 6 0.5 2 1
5
1 210
Disease Proportion Percentage
of the total 695 allocated risk points
bov.tbc 0.6978 69.7842
bov.brucellosis 0.3022
30.2158
T o t a l 1.0000
100.0000
5.6-ANIMAL POPULATION MOVEMENT
AS POTENTIAL RISK OF DISEASE PROPAGATION
This subprogramme calculates
animal population movement in terms of:
1) combination of distance, time
and velocity
INPUT DATA:
species, category(ies) ?
antelopes,all
territory, period ?
Mongolia,IX/1963-VI/1964
place(s) of origin, of
destination ? Chinese border,Central Ajmak
number of animals moved
between origin and destination places ? 5000
purpose: rearing (r),
fattening (f) or slaughter (s) or natural (n) ? n
length measure units ? km
time measure units ? days
Do not answer (skip) the question about the indicator to be calculated; the other two numeric data must be available !
velocity of the movement per
one time measure unit ?
distance of the movement in
length measure units ? 360
time of the movement in time
measure units ? 300
RESULT:
Estimated average velocity
of animal movement per one time measure unit
= 1.20 km
5.6-ANIMAL POPULATION MOVEMENT
AS POTENTIAL RISK OF DISEASE PROPAGATION
This subprogramme calculates
animal population movement in terms of:
2) indicators related to movement
extent, dispersion and convergency
INPUT DATA:
species, category(ies) ?
antelopes,all
territory, period ?
China-Mongolia,1963-1964
place(s) of origin, of
destination ? borders,Central Aymak
number of animals moved
between origin and destination places ? 5000
purpose: rearing (r),
fattening (f) or slaughter (s) or
natural (n) ? n
distance, duration in days ? 360
km,300
number of animals of the
given species/category(ies) existing in place(s) of destination in the period ? 50000
surface measure units (up to
6 characters !) ? km2
size of territory of animal
origin in surface units ? 30000
size of territory of
destination in surface units ?
250000
level (regional, national,
international, etc.) ? international
form of movement (transport
means, on foot, etc.) ? on foot
RESULT:
Ratio introduced/total
(introduced+local) animals
= 0.9091
Ratio introduced/local
animals = 1 :
10.0000 = 0.1000
Ratio local/introduced
animals = 1 :
0.1000 = 10.0000
Ratio destination/origin
territories' size =
8.3333
Ratio origin/destination
territories' size = 0.1200
Average number of introduced
animals per one day = 16.6667
5.7-ANIMAL PRODUCTS TRANSFER
AS POTENTIAL RISK OF DISEASE PROPAGATION
This subprogramme calculates indicators related to raw animal products transfer
(distribution) extent, dispersion and convergency.
INPUT DATA:
animal product, measure units
? beef,MT
territory framework, period ?
Country C.,2004
place(s) of origin, of
destination ? Region H.,Province T.
What is the purpose ? Further processing (f), distribution (d)
consumption (c), export e) or import (i)
? d
amount of the product
transferred between origin and
destination places in product measure units ? 12000
amount of the product produced locally in destination places (territory) ? 150000
distance of transfer ?
300-500 km
time measure units, duration
of transfer ? days,90
numbers of places of origin,
of destination ? 30,400
surface measure units ? km2
size of territory of product
origin in surface units ? 120
size of territory of product
destination in surface units ? 4500
level (regional, national,
international,etc.) ? national form of transport ? camions
RESULT:
Ratio introduced/total
(introduced+local) products = 0.9259
Ratio introduced/local
products = 1 : 12.5000 =
0.0800
Ratio local/introduced
products = 1 :
0.0800 = 12.5000
Ratio destination/origin places
(dispersion) = 13.3333
Ratio origin/destination places
(convergency) = 0.0750
Ratio destination/origin
territories' size = 37.5000
Ratio origin/destination
territories' size = 0.0267
Average of introduced product per
one destination place = 30.0000 MT
Average of introduced product per
one time unit = 133.3333 MT
5.8-CONCENTRATION OF ANIMALS
AS POTENTIAL RISK OF DISEASE PROPAGATION
This subprogramme calculates simple indicators related to the
concentration grade of animals on surface and in volume space of environment:
1) concentration on known surface space
INPUT DATA:
species, category(ies) ?
cattle,all
place, time ? Czech
Republic,31.12.1994
number of animals ? 2033963
type of location
[territory(ies), pasture(s), ranch(es),
farm(s), stable(s), shed(s), pen(s), box(es), etc.] ? farms
identification (name) of
location(s) ? cattle farms
surface space measure unit
(m2, ha, km2, shed, farm, etc.) ? farm
known space for all animals
in surface measure units ? 14800
RESULT:
Average number of animals per
one surface unit = 137.4299
Average surface space per one
animal = 0.0073 farm
5.8-CONCENTRATION OF ANIMALS
AS POTENTIAL RISK OF DISEASE PROPAGATION
This subprogramme calculates simple indicators related to the concentration
grade of animals on surface and in volume space of environment:
1) concentration on known surface space
INPUT DATA:
species, category(ies) ?
pigs,in feedlots
place, time ? Farm
T.,1.1.2004
number of animals ? 2200
type of location
[territory(ies), pasture(s), ranch(es), farm(s), stable(s), shed(s), pen(s),
box(es), etc.] ? pig-shed
identification (name) of
location(s) ? Block B.
surface space measure unit
(m2, ha, km2, shed, farm, etc.) ? m2
known space for all animals
in surface measure units ? 1500
Do you want to compare the result with the space standard, yes(y) or no(n) ? y
standard (norm) value in
space units ? 0.5
RESULT:
Average number of animals per
one surface unit = 1.4667
Average surface space per one
animal = 0.6818 m2
Ratio standard to compared
space per one animal = 1 :
1.3636
5.8-CONCENTRATION OF ANIMALS
AS POTENTIAL RISK OF DISEASE PROPAGATION
This subprogramme calculates simple indicators related to the
concentration grade of animals on surface and in volume space of environment:
2) concentration on unknown surface space (to be calculated)
INPUT DATA:
species, category(ies) ?
cattle,cows
place, time ? Farm
N.,1.1.2005
number of animals ? 105
type of location
[territory(ies), pasture(s), ranch(es),
farm(s), stable(s), shed(s), pen(s), box(es), etc.] ? shed
identification (name) of
location(s) ? No.4
surface space measure unit ?
m2 length measure unit (up to 6
characters) ? m
length of the space
surface ? 60 width (span) of the space surface ? 10
Do you want to compare the result with the space standard, yes(y) or no(n) ? y
standard (norm) value in
space units ? 4.85
RESULT:
Average number of animals per
one surface unit = 0.1750
Average surface space per one
animal = 5.7143 m2
Ratio standard to compared
space per one animal = 1 :
1.1782
5.8-CONCENTRATION OF ANIMALS
AS POTENTIAL RISK OF DISEASE PROPAGATION
This subprogramme calculates simple indicators related to the
concentration grade of animals on surface and in volume space of environment:
3) concentration
in known volume space
INPUT DATA:
species, category(ies) ?
pigs,in feedlot
place, time ? Farm
K.,1.1.2005
number of animals ? 1200
type of location (air space
in stable, shed, box, etc or water environment in reservoir, etc.) ? pig shed
identification (name) of
location(s) ? Block 3
volume space measure
units ? m3 known volume space for the animals ? 650
Do you want to compare the result with the space standard, yes(y) or
no(n) ? n
RESULT:
Average number of animals per
one m3 = 1.8462
Average volume space per one
animal = 0.5417 m3
5.8-CONCENTRATION OF ANIMALS
AS POTENTIAL RISK OF DISEASE PROPAGATION
This subprogramme calculates
simple indicators related to the concentration grade of animals on surface and
in volume space of environment:
4) concentration in unknown volume space (to be calculated)
INPUT DATA:
species, category(ies) ?
pigs,feedlot
place, time ? Farm
L.,1.5.2004
number of animals ? 2150
type of location (air space
in stable, shed, box, etc. or water environment in reservoir, etc.) ? feedlot
shed
identification (name) of
location(s) ? Block 2
volume space measure
units ? m3 length measure units ? m
length, width (span) of the
space ? 150,20
hight of the space ? 6
Do you want to compare the result with the space standard, yes(y) or no(n) ? y
standard (norm) value in
space units ? 5
RESULT:
Average number of animals per
one m3 = 0.1194
Average volume space per one
animal = 8.3721 m3
Ratio standard to compared
space per one animal = 1 :
1.6744
5.9-RISK PROBABILITY
ASSESSMENT OF ANIMAL DISEASE PROPAGATION
This subprogramme calculates a
rough risk probability of specific animal disease agents to be spread from
existing foci creating new ones. The
input and result interpretation to be based
on theoretical knowledge and practical experience and must be
epizootiologically meaningful. A l l questions about grades and rates (real,
supposed or fictitious)
must be answered (scale between >0 and 1) !
INPUT DATA:
place, time ? Region O.,2004
disease? hog cholera species ? pigs
definition of focal units ? farms definition of foci ? affected farms
True situation in the given
territory/population:
prevalence rate of specifically
diseased animals ?
0.08
incidence rate of specifically
diseased animals ? 0.12
prevalence rate of specific
disease f o c i
? 0.2
incidence rate of specific
disease f o c i ? 0.13
t e n d e n c y of specific
epizootic process - stagnating (s),
increasing (i) or decreasing (d) ?
s
- estimated grade of i n a b i l
i t y to r e d u c e
the number of foci due to the
lack of effective: field reduction, elimination, and/or eradication measures,
sanitation actions, veterinary field and laboratory services, etc. ? 0.7
- estimated grade of i n a b i l
i t y to p r o t e c t
disease free part of population (n e w
f o c i) due to lack of
effective: protection measures against the contacts with intrafocal animals and
their products or with other etiological agents' sources (vectors, wild animals-reservoirs,
etc.), population specific resistance (vaccination), diagnostic methods,
veterinary field and laboratory services, etc.
? 0.5
RESULT:
Risk probability grade of
disease propagation can be estimated to
be about 0.54400718 i.e.
about 54.4007 %
5.9-RISK PROBABILITY
ASSESSMENT OF ANIMAL DISEASE PROPAGATION
This subprogramme calculates a
rough risk probability of specific animal disease agents to be spread from
existing foci creating new ones. The
input and result interpretation to be based
on theoretical knowledge and practical experience and must be
epizootiologically meaningful. A l
l questions about grades and rates
(real, supposed or fictitious)
must be answered (scale between >0 and 1) !
INPUT DATA:
place, time ? Region O.,2004
disease? hog cholera species ? pigs
definition of focal units ?
farms definition of foci ? affected
farms
True situation in the given
territory/population:
prevalence rate of specifically
diseased animals ?
0.08
incidence rate of specifically
diseased animals ?
0.12
prevalence rate of specific
disease f o c i ? 0.2
incidence rate of specific
disease f o c i ? 0.13
t e n d e n c y of specific
epizootic process - stagnating (s), increasing (i) or decreasing (d) ? d
- estimated increasing or decreasing
g r a d e considering the
characteristics of specific disease process (interaction of
population-pathogens-environment, development stage), role of influencing
factors, p r e v i o u s propagation
intensity etc. ? 0.4
- estimated grade of i n a b i l
i t y to r e d u c e
the number of foci due to the lack of effective: field reduction,
elimination, and/or eradication measures, sanitation actions, veterinary field and
laboratory services, etc. ? 0.7
- estimated grade of i n a b i l
i t y to p r o t e c t
disease free part of population (n e w
f o c i) due to lack of
effective: protection measures against the contacts with intrafocal animals and
their products or with other etiological agents' sources (vectors, wild animals-reservoirs,
etc.), population specific resistance (vaccination), diagnostic methods,
veterinary field and laboratory services, etc.
? 0.5
RESULT:
Risk probability grade of
disease propagation can be estimated to
be about 0.43542346 i.e. about
43.5423 %
5.9-RISK PROBABILITY
ASSESSMENT OF ANIMAL DISEASE PROPAGATION
This subprogramme calculates a
rough risk probability of specific animal disease agents to be spread from
existing foci creating new ones. The
input and result interpretation to be based
on theoretical knowledge and practical experience and must be
epizootiologically meaningful. A l
l questions about grades and rates
(real, supposed or fictitious)
must be answered (scale between >0 and 1) !
INPUT DATA:
place, time ? Region O.,2004
disease? hog cholera species ? pigs
definition of focal units ?
farms definition of foci ? affected
farms
True situation in the given
territory/population:
prevalence rate of specifically
diseased animals ?
0.08
incidence rate of specifically
diseased animals ?
0.12
prevalence rate of specific
disease f o c i
? 0.2
incidence rate of specific
disease f o c i ? 0.13
t e n d e n c y of specific
epizootic process - stagnating (s), increasing (i) or decreasing (d) ? i
- estimated increasing or decreasing
g r a d e considering the
characteristics of specific disease process (interaction of
population-pathogens-environment, development stage), role of influencing
factors, p r e v i o u s propagation
intensity etc. ? 0.6
- estimated grade of i n a b i l
i t y to r e d u c e
the number of foci due to the lack of effective: field reduction,
elimination, and/or eradication measures, sanitation actions, veterinary field and
laboratory services, etc. ? 0.7
- estimated grade of i n a b i l
i t y to p r o t e c t
disease free part of population (n e w
f o c i) due to lack of
effective: protection measures against the contacts with intrafocal animals and
their products or with other etiological agents' sources (vectors, wild animals-reservoirs,
etc.), population specific resistance (vaccination), diagnostic methods,
veterinary field and laboratory services, etc.
? 0.5
RESULT:
Risk probability grade of
disease propagation can be estimated to
be about 0.87084693 i.e. about
87.0847 %
5.10-PER CAPITA FOOD
CONSUMPTION AS POTENTIAL RISK OF FOOD-BORN DISEASES
This subprogramme calculates average consumption per one person
according to: 1) food
INPUT DATA:
place, period ?
total number of persons ?
10330000
List of data - names, units,
quantity in measure units:
1 : food, measure units, quantity
? total meat,kg,916270968
2 : food, measure units, quantity
? beef,kg,303701996
3 : food, measure units, quantity
? veal,kg,8264005
4 : food, measure units, quantity
? pork,kg,443157016
5 : food, measure units, quantity
? poultry,kg,110530998
6 : food, measure units, quantity
? milk,liters,1060890968
7 : food, measure units, quantity
? eggs,pieces,3419230000
RESULT:
Food Measure Quantity Average
Units per Capita
total meat kg 916270968 88.7000
beef kg 303701996 29.4000
veal kg
8264005 0.8000
pork kg 443157016 42.9000
poultry kg
110530998 10.7000
milk liters 1060890968 102.7000
eggs pieces 3419230000 331.0000
5.10-PER CAPITA FOOD
CONSUMPTION AS POTENTIAL RISK OF FOOD-BORN DISEASES
This subprogramme calculates average consumption per one person
according to: 2) place
INPUT DATA:
place, period ? Czechoslovakia,1985
food ? meat food measure units ? kg
List of data - names; quantity in
measure units:
1 : place, persons, food quantity
? Czech Rep.,10343398,923665441
2 : place, persons, food quantity
? Slovak Rep.,5177441,409535583
RESULT:
Place Persons Quantity Average
Grand
T o t a l
of Food per Capita
Proportion %
Czech Rep. 10343398 923665441
89.3000 0.6928 69.2818
Slovak Rep. 5177441 409535583 79.1000 0.3072 30.7182
T o t a l 15520839
1333201024 85.8975 1.0000
100.0000
5.10-PER CAPITA FOOD CONSUMPTION
AS POTENTIAL RISK OF FOOD-BORN DISEASES
This subprogramme calculates average consumption per one person
according to: 3) time
INPUT DATA:
place, period ? Czech
Republic,1983-1985
food ? meat total food measure units ? kg
List of data - names; quantity in
measure units:
1 : subperiod, persons, food
quantity ? 1983,10326526,907701635
2 : subperiod, persons, food
quantity ? 1984,10333900,916616930
3 : subperiod, persons, food quantity
? 1985,10343398,923665441
RESULT:
Superiod Persons Quantity Average Grand T o t a l
of Food
per Capita
Proportion %
1983 10326526
907701635 87.9000 0.3303
33.0315
1984 10333900
916616930 88.7000 0.3336 33.3560
1985 10343398
923665441 89.3000 0.3361 33.6125
T o t a l 31003824 2747984006 88.6337
1.0000 100.0000
6-CONSEQUENCES OF ANIMAL POPULATION
HEALTH AND DISEASE
==========================================================
1-Animal health benefit and disease
losses in production
2-Public health consequences of
diseases common to animals and man
3-Losses due to specific disease
according to average parameters
4-Losses due to death and condemnation
of animal carcasses
5-Losses due to diseased animals'
utility reduction
6-Losses due to diseased animals'
reproduction deterioration
7-Inputs benefit/losses in
healthy/diseased animals
8-Summary tables of losses due to
animal population diseases
9-Cost of population health mass
actions
10-Economic losses due to population
health/disease measures' costs
11-Blanc summary tables of animal
population disease consequences
6.1-ANIMAL HEALTH BENEFIT AND
DISEASE LOSSES IN PRODUCTION
This programme calculates the benefit/losses in animal population
production: 1) using method I. (based on average numbers of production units per healthy and diseased animals and
average number of healthy and diseased
animals)
INPUT DATA:
disease(s) ? chronic respiratory
complex
species, category(ies) ?
pigs,sow
place, period ? Farm J.,1992
production indicator ? weaned piglets per sow
production indicator measure
units ? weaned piglets
monetary units ? Czech crowns
average price of one
production measure unit ?
330
average number of production
units per one healthy animal ? 16.6
average number of production
units per one diseased animal ? 5
average number of healthy
animals ? 30 average number of diseased
animals ? 50
RESULT:
Estimated production benefit
of animal disease free status = 348
production units of value =
114840 Czech crowns
Estimated production losses
due to animal disease(s) = 580
production units of value =
191400 Czech crowns
6.1-ANIMAL HEALTH BENEFIT AND
DISEASE LOSSES IN PRODUCTION
This programme calculates the benefit/losses in animal population
production: 2) using method II. (based on average number of production units per animal, per healthy animal and per
diseased animal and average number of
all animals)
INPUT DATA:
disease(s) ? chronic
respiratory complex
species, category(ies) ?
pigs,56-154 days age
place, period ? Farm N.,1998
production indicator ? weight gain
production indicator measure
units ? kg monetary units ? dollars
average price of one
production measure unit ?
3.2
average number of production
units per one animal ? 0.72
average number of production
units per one diseased animal ? 0.64
average number of production
units per one healthy animal ? 0.86
average number of animals of a
given population ? 800
RESULT:
Estimated production benefit
of animal disease free status = 64
production units of value = 204
dollars
Estimated production losses
due to animal disease(s) = 111
production units of value = 358
dollars
6.2-PUBLIC HEALTH CONSEQUENCES
OF DISEASES COMMON TO ANIMALS AND MAN
This subprogramme includes only consequences which can be quantified in
monetary terms. Deaths, suffering, shortening of human life and production life,
invalidity , psychological, etc. consequences cannot be included.
INPUT DATA:
disease(s) ? brucellosis
place, period ? Czech
Republic,1960
monetary units ? Kcs
1. value of preventive
investigations ?
3000000
2. value of diseased persons'
investigations ? 1500000
3. value of specific
vaccinations ?
60000
4. value of preventive
treatments ?
640000
5. value of curative
treatments ?
2800000
6. value of sanitation
actions ?
35000
7. value of hospitalization
(except costs mentioned above) ? 3600000
8. loss due to working
incapacity ?
2000000
9. cost of specific control
measures ?
26000000
10. value of compensations and
subsidies ? 3500000
11. cost of public health
services ?
1500000
12. cost of public health
extension work ?
640000
13. cost of specific research
and training ? 700000
14. loss due to epidemiolog.
limitations and prohibitions ? 1450000
15. other costs related to
disease(s) and epi. measures ?
5800000
RESULT:
L o s s / C o s t T y p e Kcs Proportion Percentage
1.Preventive investigations 3000000 0.0564
5.6364
2.Dis.persons'
investigations 1500000 0.0282
2.8182
3.Vaccinations 60000 0.0011 0.1127
4.Preventive treatments 640000 0.0120
1.2024
5.Curative treatments 2800000 0.0526
5.2607
6.Sanitation 35000
0.0007
0.0658
7.Hospitalization 3600000
0.0676 6.7637
8.Working incapacity 2000000 0.0376
3.7576
9.Control measures 26000000 0.4885
48.8492
10.Compensation/subsidies 3500000 0.0658
6.5759
11.Public health services 1500000
0.0282 2.8182
12.Public health extension 640000 0.0120
1.2024
13.Research and training 700000 0.0132
1.3152
14.Epid.limitation/prohibition 1450000 0.0272
2.7243
15.Others 5800000 0.1090 10.8971
T o t a l 53225000 1.0000
100.0000
6.3-LOSSES DUE TO SPECIFIC
DISEASE ACCORDING TO AVERAGE PARAMETERS
(Included quantifiable losses only)
INPUT DATA:
disease(s) ? bovine tuberculosis
species, category(ies) ?
cattle,all
place, period ? Czech
Republic,1960
lost product, product measure
units ? meat,kg
monetary units ? Kcs
Do you have absolute (a) or relative (r) data on
diseased animals occurrence ? a
number of specifically
diseased animals ?
634402
average (estimated,
standardized) percentage of specific
fatality ? 3
average (estimated,
standardized) loss in products of one specifically diseased animal in product
measure units ? 50
average (estimated,
standardized) loss in weight of one
specifically diseased animal in kg ? 40
average price of one animal
of the same species/category ? 5000
average price of one unit of the given
product ? 30
average price of one kg of
animal weight ? 15
RESULT:
Number of specifically
diseased animals: 634402
Estimated number of deaths
= 19032
animals of value =
95160302 Kcs
Estimated loss of 30768496 kg of meat of value =
923054909 Kcs
Estimated loss of weight
= 24614797 kg of
value = 369221963 Kcs
T o t a l estimated loss =
1387437175 Kcs
6.3-LOSSES DUE TO SPECIFIC
DISEASE ACCORDING TO AVERAGE PARAMETERS
(Included quantifiable losses only)
INPUT DATA:
disease(s) ? bovine
tuberculosis
species, category(ies) ?
cattle,all
place, period ? Czech
Republic,1960
lost product, product measure
units ? meat,kg
monetary units ? Kcs
Do you have absolute (a) or relative (r) data on diseased animals
occurrence ? r
number of animals existing in
the given period ? 3008132
percentage of specifically
diseased animals ? 21.09
average (estimated,
standardized) percentage of specific
fatality ? 3
average (estimated,
standardized) loss in products of one
specifically diseased animal in product measure units ? 50
average (estimated,
standardized) loss in weight of one
specifically diseased animal in kg ? 40
average price of one animal
of the same species/category ? 5000
average price of one unit of
the given product ? 30
average price of one kg of
animal weight ? 15
RESULT:
Number of specifically
diseased animals: 634415
Estimated number of deaths
= 19032
animals of value =
95162255 Kcs
Estimated loss of 30769130 kg of meat of value
= 923073916 Kcs
Estimated loss of weight
= 24615304 kg of value
= 369229566 Kcs
T o t a l estimated loss =
1387465739 Kcs
6.4-LOSSES DUE TO DEATH AND
CONDEMNATION OF ANIMAL CARCASSES
This subprogramme calculates losses:
1) in block
INPUT DATA:
disease(s) ? foot-and-mouth
disease
species, category(ies) ?
cattle,all
place, period ? outbreak in
Czech Republic,1958
average live weight of
animals in kg ? 400
monetary units ? Kcs average price of one kg of live
weight ? 22
number of naturally dead
diseased animals ? 43
number of destroyed diseased
and suspect animals ? 143
number of condemned
carcasses of slaughtered diseased
animals ? 2
RESULT:
Lo s s Type Number of Weight
Value in Proportion
animals in kg
Kcs
Naturally dead 43
17200
378400 0.2287
Destroyed 143
57200
1258400 0.7606
Condemned 2
800 17600 0.0106
T o t a l 188 75200
1654400 1.0000
6.4-LOSSES DUE TO DEATH AND
CONDEMNATION OF ANIMAL CARCASSES
This subprogramme calculates losses:
2) according to place
INPUT DATA:
disease(s) ? general
species, category(ies) ?
cattle,calves
place, period ? Czech
Republic (soc.sector),1982
average live weight of
animals in kg ? 50
monetary units ? Kcs average price of one kg of live
weight ? 20
List subterritory or subperiod
names (up to 15 characters), numbers of dead, sanitary destroyed, condemned diseased
animals' carcasses:
1 subter., dead, destroyed,
condemned ? Prague,649,0,1004
2 subter., dead, destroyed,
condemned ? Central Bohemia,10438,0,3580
3 subter., dead, destroyed,
condemned ? South Bohemia,8090,0,3055
4 subter., dead, destroyed,
condemned ? West Bohemia,6636,0,2944
5 subter., dead, destroyed,
condemned ? North Bohemia,4158,0,1365
6 subter., dead, destroyed,
condemned ? East Bohemia,10262,0,4912
7 subter., dead, destroyed,
condemned ? South Moravia,11814,0,5669
8 subter., dead, destroyed,
condemned ? North Moravia,6536,0,1971
RESULT:
Subterritory Dead
Dest- Con- Total
Weight
Value in
Animals
royed demned Number
in kg
Kcs
Prague 649 0 1004
1653 82650
1653000
Central Bohemia 10438
0 3580 14018
700900 14018000
South Bohemia 8090 0 3055
11145 557250
11145000
West Bohemia 6636 0 2944
9580 479000
9580000
North Bohemia 4158 0 1365
5523 276150
5523000
East Bohemia 10262 0 4912
15174 758700
15174000
South Moravia 11814 0 5669
17483 874150 17483000
North Moravia 6536 0 1971
8507 425350 8507000
T o t a l 58583 0 24500
83083 415415 83083000
Subterritory L
o s t v a l u e s in
---------------------------
Proportion Percentage
Prague 0.0199 1.9896
Central Bohemia 0.1687 16.8723
South Bohemia 0.1341 13.4143
West Bohemia 0.1153 11.5306
North Bohemia 0.0665 6.6476
East Bohemia 0.1826 18.2637
South Moravia 0.2104 21.0428
North Moravia 0.1024 10.2392
T o t a l 1.0000 100.0000
6.4-LOSSES DUE TO DEATH AND
CONDEMNATION OF ANIMAL CARCASSES
This subprogramme calculates losses: 3) according
to time
INPUT DATA:
disease(s) ? general
species, category(ies) ?
cattle,calves
place, period ? Czech
Republic,1986-1989
average live weight of
animals in kg ? 50
monetary units (up to 10
characters !) ? Kcs average price of one kg of live
weight ? 20
List subterritory or subperiod
names, numbers of dead, sanitary destroyed, condemned diseased animals'
carcasses:
1 subperiod, dead, destroyed,
condemned ? 1986,35145,0,20394
2 subperiod, dead, destroyed,
condemned ? 1987,36342,0,20364
3 subperiod, dead, destroyed,
condemned ? 1988,35108,0,20515
4 subperiod, dead, destroyed,
condemned ? 1989,37303,0,25508
RESULT:
S u b p e r i o d Dead Dest-
Con- Total
Weight
Value in
Animals royed demned
Number
in kg
Kcs
1986 35145
0 20394
55539 2776950 55539000
1987 36342
0 20364 56706
2835300 56706000
1988 35108
0
20515 55623 2781150 55623000
1989 37303
0 25508 62811 3140550 62811000
T o t a l 143898
0 86781 230679
11533950 230679000
S u b p e r i o d L o s t
v a l u e s in
----------------------------
Proportion Percentage
1986 0.2408 24.0763
1987 0.2458 24.5822
1988 0.2411 24.1127
1989 0.2723 27.2287
T o t a l 1.0000 100.0000
6.5-LOSSES DUE TO DISEASED
ANIMALS' UTILITY REDUCTION
(in terms of selected quantitative or qualitative indicators)
Indicators' examples:
- period for reaching
production/reproduction maturity; body weight gain or loss, offtake (sales, slaughter, culling),
yields (meat, milk, eggs, wool, honey
etc.);
- production per animal, per
monetary unit, per feed unit, per manpower
unit, per space unit (m2,ha,km2,etc.), per time unit, per other input
unit;
- analogical inputs per one
production unit;
- culled animals, weight at a
given age, stage of fattening, age/duration
of breeding/fattening to achieve a given body weight;
- qualitatively classified
products (biological or sanitary quality), etc.;
- ability to work, to provide
other required performance;
- herd composition related to
animal utility, etc.
This subprogramme
calculates: 1) One indicator in one place (population)
INPUT DATA:
disease(s) ? foot-and-mouth
disease
species, category(ies) ?
cattle,milking cows
place, period ? foci in Czech
Republic,1957
monetary units ? Kcs
selected animal utility
indicator? milk loss
selected indicator measure
units ? liters
price of one unit of selected
indicator ? 2.5
number of diseased
animals ? 1925
average value of selected
indicator in measure units
in healthy animals ? 0
in diseased animals ? 59.6
RESULT:
Difference of average values
of milk loss between healthy and
diseased animals = 59.60 liters
T o t a l estimated loss =
114730 liters of value = 286825 Kcs
6.5-LOSSES DUE TO DISEASED
ANIMALS' UTILITY REDUCTION
(in terms of selected quantitative or qualitative indicators)
Indicators' examples:
- period for reaching
production/reproduction maturity; body weight gain or loss, offtake (sales, slaughter, culling),
yields (meat, milk, eggs, wool, honey
etc.);
- production per animal, per
monetary unit, per feed unit, per manpower unit, per space unit (m2,ha,km2,etc.), per
time unit, per other input unit;
- analogical inputs per one
production unit;
- culled animals, weight at a
given age, stage of fattening, age/duration of breeding/fattening to achieve a given body
weight;
- qualitatively classified
products (biological or sanitary quality), etc.;
- ability to work, to provide
other required performance;
- herd composition related to
animal utility, etc.
This subprogramme
calculates: 2) One indicator in more than one place (population)
INPUT DATA:
disease(s) ? chronic
respiratory disease
species, category(ies) ?
pigs,piglets
place, period ? Farm J.,1960
monetary units ? Kcs
selected animal utility
indicator? weight at 56 days age
selected indicator measure
units ? kg
price of one unit of selected
indicator ? 25
List data in following
sequence: subterritory, number of
diseased animals, average value of
selected indicator (in measure units) in
healthy animals, in diseased animals:
1 ? Unit A.,30,15.2,11
2 ? Unit B.,45,13.7,10.
RESULT:
Subterritory Diseased
Average Average
Total
Value of
Animals
Value in Value in
Diffe- Loss in
Number Healthy
Diseased rence
Kcs
Unit A. 30 15.20 11.00
126 3150
Unit B. 45 13.70 10.50
144 3600
T o t a l value of estimated loss = 6750 Kcs
6.5-LOSSES DUE TO DISEASED
ANIMALS' UTILITY REDUCTION
(in terms of selected quantitative or qualitative indicators)
Indicators' examples:
- period for reaching
production/reproduction maturity; body weight gain or loss, offtake (sales, slaughter, culling),
yields (meat, milk, eggs, wool, honey
etc.);
- production per animal, per
monetary unit, per feed unit, per manpower unit, per space unit (m2,ha,km2,etc.), per
time unit, per other input unit;
- analogical inputs per one
production unit;
- culled animals, weight at a
given age, stage of fattening, age/duration of breeding/fattening to achieve a given body
weight;
- qualitatively classified
products (biological or sanitary quality), etc.;
- ability to work, to provide
other required performance;
- herd composition related to
animal utility, etc.
This subprogramme
calculates: 3) More indicators in one place (population)
INPUT DATA:
disease(s) ? foot-and-mouth
disease
species, category(ies) ?
cattle,milking cows
place, period ? Province
V.,1972
monetary units ? dollars
number of diseased animals ?
3502
List data in following sequence: selected indicator, measure units, price, average value of selected indicator in
measure units in healthy animals, in
diseased animals:
1 ? body weight,kg,4,450,400
2 ? milk yied,liters,1,5400,4600
3 ? milk condemned,liters,1,0,21.5
RESULT:
Indicator Units
Price I
n d i
c a t
o r Total Value of
per Average in Average in
Diffe- Loss in
Unit Healthy Diseased
rence
dollars
body weight kg
4.00
450.00 400.00
175100 700400
milk yied liters 1.00
5400.00 4600.00 2801600
2801600
milk condemn liters
1.00
0.00
21.50 75293 75293
T o t a l value of estimated loss = 3577293 dollars
6.5-LOSSES DUE TO DISEASED
ANIMALS' UTILITY REDUCTION
(in terms of selected quantitative or qualitative indicators)
Indicators' examples:
- period for reaching
production/reproduction maturity; body weight gain or loss, offtake (sales, slaughter, culling),
yields (meat, milk, eggs, wool, honey
etc.);
- production per animal, per
monetary unit, per feed unit, per manpower
unit, per space unit (m2,ha,km2,etc.), per time unit, per other input
unit;
- analogical inputs per one
production unit;
- culled animals, weight at a
given age, stage of fattening, age/duration of breeding/fattening to achieve a
given body weight;
- qualitatively classified
products (biological or sanitary quality), etc.;
- ability to work, to provide
other required performance;
- herd composition related to
animal utility, etc.
This subprogramme
calculates: 4) One indicator in more than one subperiod
INPUT DATA:
disease(s) ? foot-and-mouth
disease
species, category(ies) ?
cattle,all
place, period ? Region
N.,1990
monetary units ? dollars
selected animal utility
indicator? milk loss
selected indicator measure
units ? liters
price of one unit of selected
indicator ? 0.85
List data in following sequence:
subperiod name, number of
diseased animals, average value of selected indicator (in measure units) in healthy animals, in diseased animals:
1 ? May 1990,100,0,30
2 ? June 1990,200,0,20
3 ? July 1990,150,0,15
4 ? August 1990,100,0,17
5 ? Sept.1990,450,0,23
6 ? Oct.1990,300,0,20
RESULT:
Subperiod Diseased Average Average
Total Value of
Animals Value in Value in
Diffe-
Loss in
Number Healthy Diseased
rence dollars
May 1990 100 0.00 30.00
3000 2550
June 1990 200 0.00 20.00
4000 3400
July 1990 150 0.00 15.00 2250 1913
August 1990 100 0.00 17.00
1700 1445
Sept.1990 450 0.00 23.00
10350 8798
Oct.1990 300 0.00 20.00
6000 5100
T o t a l value of estimated loss = 23206 dollars
6.6-LOSSES DUE TO DISEASED
ANIMALS' REPRODUCTION DETERIORATION
(in terms of selected quantitative or qualitative indicators)
Indicators' examples: number of
new born animals, new born or weaned per
mother, per a given period, per a given
space; number of offsprings per
parturition; fertility rate, pregnancy
rate, birth rate, parturition rate, weaning rate; non-pregnancy rate, service period,
parturition interval; replacement rate,
age at sexual maturity, etc.
This subprogramme
calculates: 1) One indicator in one place (population)
INPUT DATA:
disease(s) ? sterility
species, category(ies) ?
cattle,cows
place, period ? Czech
Republic,1971
monetary units ? Kcs
selected indicator of animal
reproduction ? calves per cow
selected indicator measure
units ? calves
price of one unit of selected
indicator ? 2000
number of diseased
animals ? 194084
average value of selected
indicator in measure units in healthy animals
? 1
RESULT:
Difference of average
values of calves per cow between healthy and diseased animals =
1.00 calves
T o t a l estimated
loss = 194084 calves
of value = 388168000 Kcs
6.6-LOSSES DUE TO DISEASED
ANIMALS' REPRODUCTION DETERIORATION
(in terms of selected quantitative or qualitative indicators)
Indicators' examples: number of
new born animals, new born or weaned per
mother, per a given period, per a given
space; number of offsprings per
parturition; fertility rate, pregnancy
rate, birth rate, parturition rate, weaning rate; non-pregnancy rate, service period,
parturition interval; replacement rate,
age at sexual maturity, etc.
This subprogramme calculates: 2) One
indicator in more than one place (population)
INPUT DATA:
disease(s) ? vibriosis
species, category(ies) ?
cattle,cows
place, period ? Ranch U.,2002
monetary units ? dollars
selected indicator of animal
reproduction ? service period
selected indicator measure
units ? days
price of one unit of selected
indicator ? 13
List data in following
sequence: place name, number of diseased
animals, average value of selected
indicator (in measure units) in healthy
animals, in diseased animals:
1 ? Farm T.,8,58,89
2 ? Farm R.,67,64,98
3 ? Fram F.,20,65,87
4 ? Farm K.,45,59,86
RESULT:
Place Diseased I n d i c a t o r Total
Value of
Animals Average
in Diffe-
Loss in
Number Healthy
Diseased rence dollars
Farm T. 8
58.00 89.00
248 3224
Farm R. 67
64.00
98.00 2278
29614
Fram F. 20
65.00
87.00 440
5720
Farm K. 45
59.00
86.00 1215 15795
T o t a l
value of estimated loss = 54353
dollars
6.6-LOSSES DUE TO DISEASED
ANIMALS' REPRODUCTION DETERIORATION
(in terms of selected quantitative or qualitative indicators)
Indicators' examples: number of
new born animals, new born or weaned per
mother, per a given period, per a given
space; number of offsprings per
parturition; fertility rate, pregnancy
rate, birth rate, parturition rate, weaning rate; non-pregnancy rate, service period,
parturition interval; replacement rate,
age at sexual maturity, etc.
This subprogramme
calculates: 3) More indicators in one place (population)
INPUT DATA:
disease(s) ? trichomoniasis
species, category(ies) ?
cattle,cows
place, period ? Ranch E.,1974
monetary units ? dollars
number of diseased animals ? 250
List data in following sequence:
selected indicator, measure units,
price, average value of selected indicator (in measure units) in healthy animals, in diseased animals:
1 ? service per.,days,10,60,90
2 ? calves/cow,calves,1000,0.9,0.7
RESULT:
Indicator Units Price
I n
d i c
a t o r Total
Value of
per Average in Average in
Diffe- Loss in
Unit Healthy Diseased
rence dollars
service per. days
10.00 60.00 90.00
7500 75000
calves/cow calves
1000.00 0.90 0.70 50 50000
T o t a l value of estimated loss = 125000 dollars
6.6-LOSSES DUE TO DISEASED
ANIMALS' REPRODUCTION DETERIORATION
(in terms of selected quantitative or qualitative indicators)
Indicators' examples: number of
new born animals, new born or weaned per
mother, per a given period, per a given
space; number of offsprings per
parturition; fertility rate, pregnancy
rate, birth rate, parturition rate, weaning rate; non-pregnancy rate, service period,
parturition interval; replacement rate,
age at sexual maturity, etc.
This subprogramme
calculates: 4) One indicator in more than one subperiod
INPUT DATA:
disease(s) ? sterility
species, category(ies) ?
cattle,cows
place, period ? Czech
Republic,1971-1975
monetary units ? Kcs
selected indicator of animal
reproduction ? unborn calves per 100
cows
selected indicator measure
units ? unborn calves
price of one unit of selected
indicator ? 2000
List data in following
sequence: subperiod name, number of
diseased animals, average value of selected indicator (in measure units) in healthy animals, in diseased animals:
1 ? 1971,10,0,1
2 ? 1972,9,0,1
3 ? 1973,8,0,1
4 ? 1974,7,0,1
5 ? 1975,6,0,1
RESULT:
Subperiod Diseased I n
d i c a t o r Total
Value of
Animals Average
in Diffe- Loss in
Number Healthy
Diseased rence
Kcs
1971 10 0.00 1.00 10 20000
1972 9
0.00 1.00 9
18000
1973 8 0.00
1.00 8 16000
1974 7 0.00 1.00 7
14000
1975 6 0.00 1.00 6 12000
T o t a l
value of estimated loss = 80000
Kcs per 100 cows
6.7-INPUTS BENEFIT/LOSSES IN
HEALTHY/DISEASED ANIMALS
This programme calculates inputs'
benefit/losses 1) using method I. (based on average number of healthy and diseased animals and average inputs in healthy and
diseased animals)
INPUT DATA:
disease(s) ? mastitis
species, category(ies) ?
cattle,milking cows
place, period ? Ranch S.,2002
production input indicator ?
antibiotics input indicator measure units ? grammes
monetary units ?
dollars price of one
measure unit of input indicator ?
5.45
average production input (in
indicator measure units) a) per one healthy animal ? 0
b) per one diseased animal ? 62
average number of healthy
animals in the population ? 345
average number of diseased
animals in the population ? 162
RESULT:
Estimated benefit due to
minor inputs in 345 healthy animals
= 21390 grammes of antibiotics of value
= 116575 dollars
Estimated loss due to major
inputs in 162 diseased animals =
10044 grammes of antibiotics of
value =
54739 dollars
6.7-INPUTS BENEFIT/LOSSES IN
HEALTHY/DISEASED ANIMALS
This programme calculates inputs'
benefit/losses 2) using method II. (based on number of diseased animals and average inputs in healthy and diseased
animals)
INPUT DATA:
disease(s) ? mastitis
species, category(ies) ?
cattle,milking cows
place, period ? Ranch R.,2003
production input indicator ?
antibiotics input indicator measure units ? grammes
monetary units ? dollars
price of
one measure unit of input indicator ?
5.45
total number of diseased
animals ? 162
average production input (in
indicator measure units) per one healthy
animal ? 0
per one diseased animal ? 62
RESULT:
Average difference of
antibiotics values between healthy and
diseased animals = 62.0000 grammes =
337.90 dollars
Estimated total loss = 10044 grammes of value
= 54739 dollars
6.7-INPUTS BENEFIT/LOSSES IN
HEALTHY/DISEASED ANIMALS
This programme calculates inputs'
benefit/losses 3) using method III. (based on average number of all animals and average inputs in all, healthy and diseased
animals)
INPUT DATA:
disease(s) ? general
species, category(ies) ?
pigs,10-100 kg weight
place, period ? Czech
republic,1985 (one day)
production input indicator ?
concentrated feedstuff consumption por 1 kg gain
input indicator measure units ? kg monetary units ? Kcs
price of one measure unit of
input indicator ? 6
average production input (in
indicator measure units): per one animal
in the given population ? 3.52
per one diseased animal ? 4.1
per one healthy animal ? 3.3
average total number of animals
of the given population ? 3039000
RESULT:
Estimated benefit due to minor
inputs in production by healthy animals =
1762619 kg of concentrated feedstuff consumption por 1 kg gain of value
= 10575718 Kcs
Estimated loss due to major
inputs in production by diseased animals =
668580 kg of concentrated feedstuff consumption por 1 kg gain of value
= 4011480 Kcs
6.8-SUMMARY TABLES OF LOSSES
DUE TO ANIMAL POPULATION DISEASES
This subprogramme calculates
summary tables on: 1) losses according to animal diseases
INPUT DATA:
species, category(ies) ?
domestic animals,all
place, period ? Spain,1980
type of losses ? overall
measure units ? 1000 pesetas
List data, values in measure
units:
1 disease, losses value ? bovine tbc,3734
2 disease, losses value ? brucellosis,10658
3 disease, losses value ? bov.mastitis,18390
4 disease, losses value ? ov/cap agalact.,3520
5 disease, losses value ? Afr.swine fever,1996
6 disease, losses value ? swine
enz.pneum.,2875
7 disease, losses value ?
pneumoenter.bov.,2763
8 disease, losses value ?
dif.parasitosis,27465
RESULT:
Disease(s) L o s s e s Proportion
Percentage
Value in
1000
peseta
bovine tbc 3734.00
0.0523
5.2296
brucellosis 1 0658.00 0.1493 14.9270
bov.mastiti 18390.00
0.2576
25.7559
ov/cap agalact 3520.00 0.0493
4.9299
Afr.swine fever 1996.00 0.0280
2.7955
swine enz.pneum. 2875.00
0.0403 4.0266
pneumoenter.bov. 2763.00
0.0387
3.8697
dif.parasitosis 27465.00 0.3847 38.4658
T o t a l 71401.00 1.0000
100.0000
6.8-SUMMARY TABLES OF LOSSES
DUE TO ANIMAL POPULATION DISEASES
This subprogramme calculates
summary tables on: 2) losses according to animal species
INPUT DATA:
disease(s) ? general
place, period ? the whole
world,1980
type of losses ? mortality
due to diseases
measure units ? metric tons
List data, values in measure
units:
1 species, losses value ? cattle,12736000
2 species, losses value ? pigs,8960000
3 species, losses value ? sheep,1500000
4 species, losses value ? goats,516000
RESULT:
Species L o s s e s Proportion
Percentage
Value in
metric tons
cattle 12736000.00 0.5371 53.7112
pigs 8960000.00 0.3779 37.7868
sheep 1500000.00 0.0633 6.3259
goats 516000.00 0.0218 2.1761
T o t a 23712000.00 1.0000 100.0000
6.8-SUMMARY TABLES OF LOSSES
DUE TO ANIMAL POPULATION DISEASES
This subprogramme calculates
summary tables on: 3) losses
according to place
INPUT DATA:
disease(s) ? general
mortality